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Serie B
Referee: I Pezzuto
Sudtirol
T T T T
2–1
Full-time
Pisa
S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sudtirol Pisa
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
75%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,3
3,7
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
2,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
-2,3
-0,7
This season — Serie B · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
0,3
1,7
Conceded
2,7
2,3
Goal diff per game
-2,3
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

31% Possession 69%
7 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
19 Free kicks against 23
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sudtirol 20. · Pisa 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Reggina 4 3 0 1 +8 9
2 Frosinone 4 3 0 1 +5 9
3 Brescia 4 3 0 1 +1 9
4 Genoa 4 2 2 0 +2 8
5 Ascoli 4 2 2 0 +2 8
6 Benevento 4 2 1 1 +2 7
7 Cosenza 4 2 1 1 +1 7
8 Cagliari 4 2 1 1 +1 7
9 Bari 4 1 3 0 +2 6
10 Parma 4 1 3 0 +1 6
11 Cittadella 4 1 2 1 +0 5
12 Spal 4 1 2 1 -1 5
13 Palermo 4 1 1 2 -2 4
14 Venezia 4 1 1 2 -2 4
15 Ternana 4 1 1 2 -3 4
16 Modena 4 1 0 3 +0 3
17 Como 4 0 2 2 -3 2
18 Pisa 3 0 1 2 -2 1
19 Perugia 4 0 1 3 -5 1
20 Sudtirol 3 0 0 3 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sudtirol Pisa
23′
A. Ioniţă 0–1
Á. Nagy
1–1 M. Rover
35′
Simone Davì 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–1
Marco Pompetti 🟨
46′
G. Crociata 🔁
↦ S. Davì
46′
A. Schiavone 🔁
↦ M. Pompetti
46′
46′
🔁 E. Gliozzi
↦ M. Cissé
Giovanni Crociata ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
61′
2–1 M. Rover
63′
65′
🔁 G. Masucci
↦ H. Hermannsson
65′
🔁 M. Tramoni
↦ G. Sibilli
66′
🟨 Pietro Beruatto
75′
🟨 Marius Marin
Mirko Carretta 🟨
80′
M. Carretta 🔁
↦ S. Mazzocchi
80′
82′
🔁 I. Touré
↦ A. Ioniţă
83′
🔁 A. De Vitis
↦ A. Rus
D. Casiraghi 🔁
↦ M. Rover
85′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sudtirol

4-4-2
1 G. Poluzzi G
26 F. De Col D
2 F. Berra D
19 G. Zaro D
11 T. D'Orazio D
18 M. Rover M
23 M. Pompetti M
16 L. Belardinelli M
24 S. Davì M
90 R. Odogwu F
9 S. Mazzocchi F
Bench (10)
30 G. Crociata
88 A. Schiavone
10 M. Carretta
17 D. Casiraghi
12 S. Harrasser
37 C. Capone
22 A. Iacobucci
14 H. Nicolussi
8 D. Voltan
28 R. Kofler

Coach: P. Bisoli

Pisa

4-3-2-1
1 Nícolas G
6 H. Hermannsson D
44 A. Rus D
93 F. Barba D
20 P. Beruatto D
23 A. Ioniţă M
16 Á. Nagy M
8 M. Marin M
80 O. Moruțan M
17 G. Sibilli M
99 M. Cissé F
Bench (12)
9 E. Gliozzi
26 G. Masucci
27 M. Tramoni
15 I. Touré
30 A. De Vitis
7 R. Jureškin
12 V. Dekic
36 G. Piccinini
77 L. Tramoni
22 A. Livieri
5 S. Canestrelli
18 G. Mastinu

Coach: R. Maran

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,89
U
3,10
B
2,52
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,25
U2,5
1,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

I Pezzuto · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.