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Serie B
Referee: D Rutella
Reggina
T T T S T
4–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reggina Sudtirol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
1,7
2,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,7
This season — Serie B · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,5
0,5
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

51% Possession 49%
15 Shots 6
9 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
3 Corners 4
13 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Reggina 9. · Sudtirol 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ascoli 3 2 1 0 +2 7
2 Frosinone 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Cosenza 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Palermo 3 1 1 1 +1 4
5 Genoa 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Cagliari 3 1 1 1 +0 4
7 Spal 3 1 1 1 -1 4
8 Modena 3 1 0 2 +1 3
9 Reggina 2 1 0 1 +1 3
10 Cittadella 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Venezia 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Brescia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
13 Ternana 3 1 0 2 -3 3
14 Bari 2 0 2 0 +0 2
15 Como 2 0 2 0 +0 2
16 Parma 2 0 2 0 +0 2
17 Pisa 2 0 1 1 -1 1
18 Benevento 2 0 1 1 -1 1
19 Perugia 2 0 1 1 -2 1
20 Sudtirol 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Reggina Sudtirol
6′
🟨 Raphael Odogwu
Lorenzo Crisetig 🟨
10′
12′
🟨 Marco Curto
24′
🟥 Marco Curto
24′
ℹ️ Marco Curto
VAR: Card upgrade
26′
🔁 K. Vinetot
↦ D. Casiraghi
1–0 G. Fabbian
G. Di Chiara
35′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 Ž. Majer
G. Di Chiara
46′
46′
🔁 M. Rover
↦ M. Carretta
46′
🔁 S. Davì
↦ H. Nicolussi
46′
🔁 S. Mazzocchi
↦ R. Odogwu
Jérémy Ménez ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
49′
Giovanni Fabbian 🟨
50′
3–0 N. Pierozzi
61′
A. Lombardi 🔁
↦ G. Fabbian
67′
D. Liotti 🔁
↦ L. Crisetig
67′
69′
🟨 Marco Pompetti
4–0 A. Lombardi
70′
F. Giraudo 🔁
↦ G. Di Chiara
77′
E. Cicerelli 🔁
↦ L. Canotto
77′
78′
🔁 M. Marconi
↦ M. Pompetti
G. Gori 🔁
↦ J. Ménez
80′
84′
🟨 Simone Mazzocchi
Full-time 4–0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,02
U
3,24
B
3,82
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,27
U2,5
1,61
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Rutella · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.