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Serie B

Referee: D Orsato

Cagliari

U T U S U

2–1

Full-time

Cittadella

U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cagliari Cittadella

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,2

This season — Serie B · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

2,0

7,0

Scored

1,0

4,0

Conceded

1,0

3,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

65% Possession 35%

17 Shots 12

8 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

9 Corners 2

3 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cagliari 12. · Cittadella 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palermo	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Ascoli	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Genoa	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Reggina	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Brescia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Cittadella	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Cosenza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Bari	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Parma	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Como	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Benevento	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Spal	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Perugia	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Pisa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Sudtirol	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ascoli	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Brescia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Palermo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Cittadella	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Parma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Como	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Bari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Genoa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Perugia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Modena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Spal	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reggina	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Cosenza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Bari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Spal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Palermo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Benevento	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Parma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Pisa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Ternana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Sudtirol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Perugia	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.