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Serie B
Referee: G Miele
Como
S T T U U
0–1
Full-time
Brescia
T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Como Brescia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
2,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,7
This season — Serie B · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

41% Possession 59%
11 Shots 24
5 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 9
7 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 5
4 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 21
3 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Como 17. · Brescia 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ascoli 3 2 1 0 +2 7
2 Genoa 3 2 1 0 +2 7
3 Reggina 3 2 0 1 +5 6
4 Frosinone 3 2 0 1 +3 6
5 Cosenza 3 2 0 1 +1 6
6 Bari 3 1 2 0 +2 5
7 Parma 3 1 2 0 +1 5
8 Palermo 3 1 1 1 +1 4
9 Cittadella 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 Venezia 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Cagliari 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Benevento 3 1 1 1 +0 4
13 Spal 3 1 1 1 -1 4
14 Modena 3 1 0 2 +1 3
15 Brescia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
16 Ternana 3 1 0 2 -3 3
17 Como 2 0 2 0 +0 2
18 Pisa 3 0 1 2 -2 1
19 Perugia 3 0 1 2 -4 1
20 Sudtirol 3 0 0 3 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Como Brescia
21′
🟨 Massimiliano Mangraviti
40′
🔁 A. Jallow
↦ M. Mangraviti
Tommaso Arrigoni 🟨
41′
Tommaso Arrigoni 🟨
44′
Tommaso Arrigoni 🟥
44′
45′
M. Bertagnoli 0–1
N. Galazzi
Half-time 0–1
P. Faragò 🔁
↦ Álex Blanco
46′
Alberto Cerri ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
52′
54′
🔁 A. Papetti
↦ A. Cistana
L. Kerrigan 🔁
↦ V. Parigini
62′
65′
🔁 F. Viviani
↦ N. Galazzi
65′
🔁 Ahmed Benali
↦ J. Łabojko
65′
🔁 F. Bianchi
↦ F. Ayé
Leonardo Mancuso 🟨
71′
E. Gliozzi 🔁
↦ L. Mancuso
72′
Cesc Fàbregas 🔁
↦ E. Celeghin
72′
P. Cutrone 🔁
↦ E. Bovolon
85′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Como

4-4-2
1 S. Ghidotti G
98 E. Bovolon D
23 F. Scaglia D
2 L. Binks D
44 N. Ioannou D
11 V. Parigini M
21 T. Arrigoni M
24 E. Celeghin M
19 Álex Blanco M
77 L. Mancuso F
27 A. Cerri F
Bench (12)
8 P. Faragò
20 L. Kerrigan
72 E. Gliozzi
4 Cesc Fàbregas
63 P. Cutrone
25 R. Ba
3 A. Cagnano
16 M. Solini
33 F. Delli Carri
22 L. Zanotti
26 C. Odenthal
9 A. Gabrielloni

Coach: G. Gattuso

Brescia

4-1-3-2
12 L. Lezzerini G
2 F. Karačić D
15 A. Cistana D
4 D. Adorni D
14 M. Mangraviti D
21 J. Łabojko M
26 M. Bertagnoli M
25 D. Bisoli M
6 N. Galazzi M
9 S. Moreo F
11 F. Ayé F
Bench (9)
18 A. Jallow
32 A. Papetti
7 F. Viviani
28 Ahmed Benali
24 F. Bianchi
19 P. Nuamah
20 R. Niemeijer
1 L. Andrenacci
16 V. Garofalo

Coach: Pep Clotet

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,74
U
3,28
B ✓
2,51
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,93
U2,5 ✓
1,85
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Miele · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
30,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.