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Ligue 2
Referee: R Lissorgue
St Etienne
U T U S U
2–0
Full-time
Bordeaux
S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Bordeaux
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
4,2
2,2
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
2,2
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
14%
57%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
86%
43%
Both score Ø 43%
71%
14%
Average goals
4,0
1,9
Scored
1,9
1,6
Conceded
2,1
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%
16 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
1 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
20 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Etienne 12. · Bordeaux 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bordeaux 7 4 2 1 +9 14
2 Amiens 7 4 2 1 +2 14
3 Sochaux 7 4 1 2 +8 13
4 Le Havre 7 3 3 1 +8 12
5 Caen 7 3 3 1 +4 12
6 Valenciennes 7 3 3 1 +1 12
7 Metz 7 3 2 2 +6 11
8 Dijon 7 3 2 2 +0 11
9 Guingamp 6 3 1 2 +2 10
10 Grenoble 7 2 3 2 -2 9
11 Bastia 7 3 0 4 -4 9
12 St Etienne 7 1 4 2 -2 7
13 Nimes 7 2 1 4 -2 7
14 Paris FC 7 1 4 2 -2 7
15 Laval 7 2 1 4 -4 7
16 Quevilly Rouen 7 1 4 2 -4 7
17 Niort 7 2 1 4 -6 7
18 Annecy 7 1 3 3 -1 6
19 Rodez 6 1 2 3 -5 5
20 Pau FC 7 0 4 3 -8 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,16
U
3,27
B
3,37
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,13
U2,5 ✓
1,69
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Lissorgue · 97 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.