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Ligue 1
Referee: A Gautier
Bordeaux
U S U T U
3–0
Full-time
Dijon
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bordeaux Dijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,2
2,7
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
0,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 10%
20%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
20%
40%
Both score Ø 30%
20%
40%
Average goals
1,0
2,6
Scored
0,6
0,6
Conceded
0,4
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

50% Possession 50%
17 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bordeaux 13. · Dijon 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rennes 5 4 1 0 +7 13
2 Lens 6 4 1 1 +4 13
3 Paris SG 6 4 0 2 +9 12
4 Lille 5 3 2 0 +4 11
5 Montpellier 6 3 1 2 +4 10
6 Monaco 5 3 1 1 +2 10
7 St Etienne 6 3 1 2 +1 10
8 Nice 6 3 1 2 -1 10
9 Angers 6 3 0 3 -7 9
10 Nimes 6 2 2 2 +2 8
11 Marseille 5 2 2 1 +0 8
12 Lyon 5 1 3 1 +2 6
13 Bordeaux 5 1 3 1 +1 6
14 Brest 5 2 0 3 -3 6
15 Nantes 6 1 2 3 -3 5
16 Lorient 5 1 1 3 -2 4
17 Metz 5 1 1 3 -2 4
18 Strasbourg 5 1 0 4 -6 3
19 Reims 5 0 1 4 -5 1
20 Dijon 5 0 1 4 -7 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bordeaux Dijon
1–0 R. Oudin
11′
2–0 S. Kalu
N. de Préville
29′
38′
🟨 Eric Junior Dina Ebimbe
Half-time 2–0
59′
🔁 B. Celina
↦ R. Assalé
61′
🟨 Jonathan Panzo
J. Briand 🔁
↦ J. Maja
63′
Hwang Ui-jo 🔁
↦ R. Oudin
63′
Pablo Nascimento Castro 🟨
71′
Samuel Kalu 🟨
74′
74′
🔁 A. Scheidler
↦ Mama Baldé
76′
🟨 Mounir Chouiar
M. Zerkane 🔁
↦ N. de Préville
77′
D. Bakwa 🔁
↦ S. Kalu
77′
82′
🔁 F. Sammaritano
↦ M. Chouiar
82′
🔁 W. Lautoa
↦ P. Diop
P. Baysse 🔁
↦ Y. Adli
86′
3–0 T. Bašić
89′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Bordeaux

4-2-3-1
1 B. Costil G
6 L. Koscielny D
23 L. Benito D
3 Pablo D
20 Y. Sabaly D
26 T. Bašić M
19 Y. Adli M
12 N. de Préville M
28 R. Oudin M
10 S. Kalu M
9 J. Maja F
Bench (9)
7 J. Briand
18 Hwang Ui-jo
17 M. Zerkane
32 D. Bakwa
24 P. Baysse
25 E. Kwateng
16 G. Poussin
36 S. Mara
29 M. Poundjé

Coach: J. Gasset

Dijon

4-3-3
16 S. Allagbé G
25 B. Écuélé Manga D
26 F. Chafik D
13 A. Chalá D
4 J. Panzo D
22 D. Ndong M
17 Mama Baldé F
6 P. Diop M
8 E. Ebimbe M
15 R. Assalé F
21 M. Chouiar F
Bench (9)
9 B. Celina
27 A. Scheidler
7 F. Sammaritano
24 W. Lautoa
3 G. Ngonda
1 A. Racioppi
19 A. Ngouyamsa
18 W. Younoussa
14 J. Marié

Coach: S. Jobard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,69
U
3,78
B
5,08
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,05
U2,5
1,77
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Gautier · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.