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Eliteserien

Referee: Sigurd Smehus Kringstad

Valerenga

T S S T U

0–2

Full-time

Lillestrom

S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 63%

50%

75%

Points per game

1,8

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 38%

25%

50%

Average goals

1,5

2,3

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,09 xG 1,71

40% Possession 60%

18 Shots 16

3 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

13 Corners 6

1 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 7

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valerenga 4. · Lillestrom 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tromso	5	4	1	0	+9	+8.2	13
2	Viking	5	4	0	1	+9	+5.6	12
3	Lillestrom	4	3	1	0	+5	+2.3	10
4	Valerenga	4	2	1	1	+2	-2.6	7
5	Bodo/Glimt	4	2	1	1	+1	+3.6	7
6	Fredrikstad	4	2	1	1	-1	-3.1	7
7	Sandefjord	5	2	1	2	-1	-0.6	7
8	Molde	4	2	0	2	+1	+0.2	6
9	Sarpsborg 08	4	1	2	1	+1	+0.8	5
10	KFUM Oslo	4	1	1	2	-1	+0.7	4
11	Rosenborg	5	1	1	3	-5	-2.4	4
12	Brann	5	1	0	4	+0	+1.3	3
13	Kristiansund	3	1	0	2	-4	-2.5	3
14	Ham-Kam	3	1	0	2	-6	-2.8	3
15	Start	4	0	2	2	-4	-1.3	2
16	Aalesund	5	0	2	3	-6	-7.2	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tromso	4	3	1	0	+8	+7.5	10
2	Viking	3	3	0	0	+9	+2.9	9
3	Molde	3	2	0	1	+4	+0.9	6
4	Fredrikstad	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.2	4
5	Bodo/Glimt	1	1	0	0	+3	+3.0	3
6	Lillestrom	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.1	3
7	KFUM Oslo	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.2	3
8	Valerenga	2	1	0	1	+0	-2.5	3
9	Rosenborg	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.7	3
10	Kristiansund	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.4	3
11	Ham-Kam	2	1	0	1	-3	-2.0	3
12	Sarpsborg 08	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.4	2
13	Start	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.9	1
14	Sandefjord	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.0	1
15	Aalesund	3	0	1	2	-3	-2.2	1
16	Brann	2	0	0	2	-2	+0.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lillestrom	3	2	1	0	+3	+1.2	7
2	Sandefjord	3	2	0	1	+1	+0.4	6
3	Valerenga	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.1	4
4	Bodo/Glimt	3	1	1	1	-2	+0.6	4
5	Brann	3	1	0	2	+2	+0.5	3
6	Sarpsborg 08	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.3	3
7	Tromso	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
8	Viking	2	1	0	1	+0	+2.7	3
9	Fredrikstad	2	1	0	1	-3	-3.3	3
10	KFUM Oslo	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.8	1
11	Aalesund	2	0	1	1	-3	-5.0	1
12	Start	3	0	1	2	-4	-3.2	1
13	Rosenborg	3	0	1	2	-4	-3.1	1
14	Kristiansund	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.1	0
15	Molde	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.7	0
16	Ham-Kam	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.