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NM-cupen
0–3
Full-time
Lillestrom
T U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rana 2 2 0 0 +2 6
2 Sandefjord 1 1 0 0 +15 3
3 Aalesund 1 1 0 0 +13 3
4 Kongsvinger 1 1 0 0 +12 3
5 Molde 1 1 0 0 +11 3
6 Odd 1 1 0 0 +10 3
7 Rosenborg 1 1 0 0 +9 3
8 Sogndal 1 1 0 0 +8 3
9 Levanger 1 1 0 0 +8 3
10 Asker 1 1 0 0 +7 3
11 Træff 1 1 0 0 +7 3
12 Fredrikstad 1 1 0 0 +6 3
13 Sotra 1 1 0 0 +6 3
14 Ranheim 1 1 0 0 +6 3
15 Stromsgodset 1 1 0 0 +6 3
16 Eidsvold 1 1 0 0 +5 3
17 Valerenga 1 1 0 0 +5 3
18 Gamle Oslo 1 1 0 0 +5 3
19 Tromso 1 1 0 0 +5 3
20 Bodo/Glimt 1 1 0 0 +5 3
21 Kristiansund 1 1 0 0 +5 3
22 Ham-Kam 1 1 0 0 +5 3
23 Brattvåg 1 1 0 0 +4 3
24 Grorud 1 1 0 0 +4 3
25 Arendal 1 1 0 0 +4 3
26 Bærum 1 1 0 0 +4 3
27 Kjelsås 1 1 0 0 +4 3
28 Notodden 1 1 0 0 +4 3
29 Raufoss 1 1 0 0 +4 3
30 KFUM Oslo 1 1 0 0 +4 3
31 Lyn 1 1 0 0 +4 3
32 Djerv 1 1 0 0 +4 3
33 Brann 1 1 0 0 +4 3
34 Egersund 1 1 0 0 +3 3
35 Skeid 1 1 0 0 +3 3
36 Hønefoss 1 1 0 0 +3 3
37 Moss 1 1 0 0 +3 3
38 Stjørdals-Blink 1 1 0 0 +3 3
39 Bryne 1 1 0 0 +3 3
40 Pors Grenland 1 1 0 0 +3 3
41 Trygg/Lade 1 1 0 0 +3 3
42 Fløya 1 1 0 0 +2 3
43 Førde 1 1 0 0 +2 3
44 Strommen 1 1 0 0 +2 3
45 Bjarg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
46 Os 1 1 0 0 +2 3
47 Flint 1 1 0 0 +2 3
48 Stabaek 1 1 0 0 +2 3
49 Sarpsborg 08 1 1 0 0 +2 3
50 Elverum 1 1 0 0 +1 3
51 Haugesund 1 1 0 0 +1 3
52 Madla 1 1 0 0 +1 3
53 Sandnes ULF 1 1 0 0 +1 3
54 Alta 1 1 0 0 +1 3
55 Follo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
56 Jerv 1 1 0 0 +1 3
57 hodd 1 1 0 0 +1 3
58 Vindbjart 1 1 0 0 +1 3
59 Sandviken 1 1 0 0 +1 3
60 Start 1 1 0 0 +1 3
61 Tromsdalen Uil 1 1 0 0 +1 3
62 Asane 1 1 0 0 +1 3
63 Ull/Kisa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Vard 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Vidar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Varhaug 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Bossekop 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Råde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Fram 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Spjelkavik 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Flekkerøy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Askøy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Flekkefjord 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Harstad 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Arna-Bjørnar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Stalkam 2 0 0 2 -2 0
77 Junkeren 1 0 0 1 -2 0
78 Floro 1 0 0 1 -2 0
79 Lillehammer 1 0 0 1 -2 0
80 Fana 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 Lysekloster 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Ørn Horten 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Heming 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Sparta Sarpsborg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Våg 1 0 0 1 -3 0
86 Nordstrand 1 0 0 1 -3 0
87 Eik-Tønsberg 1 0 0 1 -3 0
88 Lørenskog 1 0 0 1 -3 0
89 Melhus 1 0 0 1 -3 0
90 Rosseland 1 0 0 1 -3 0
91 Urædd 1 0 0 1 -3 0
92 Tynset 1 0 0 1 -3 0
93 Volda 1 0 0 1 -4 0
94 Lokomotiv Oslo 1 0 0 1 -4 0
95 Froland 1 0 0 1 -4 0
96 Mjondalen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
97 Frigg 1 0 0 1 -4 0
98 Åssiden IF 1 0 0 1 -4 0
99 Ridabu 1 0 0 1 -4 0
100 IF Ready 1 0 0 1 -4 0
101 SF Grei 1 0 0 1 -4 0
102 Nord 1 0 0 1 -4 0
103 Fyllingen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
104 Gjøvik-Lyn 1 0 0 1 -5 0
105 Christiania BK 1 0 0 1 -5 0
106 Drøbak / Frogn 1 0 0 1 -5 0
107 Ulfstind 1 0 0 1 -5 0
108 Fauske Sprint 1 0 0 1 -5 0
109 Trønder-Lyn 1 0 0 1 -5 0
110 Trysil FK 1 0 0 1 -5 0
111 Eidsvold IF 1 0 0 1 -6 0
112 Frøya 1 0 0 1 -6 0
113 Steinkjer 1 0 0 1 -6 0
114 Modum FK 1 0 0 1 -6 0
115 Kvik Halden 1 0 0 1 -7 0
116 Rollon 1 0 0 1 -7 0
117 Fjøra 1 0 0 1 -8 0
118 Strindheim 1 0 0 1 -8 0
119 National Kameratene 1 0 0 1 -9 0
120 Teie 1 0 0 1 -10 0
121 Midsund 1 0 0 1 -11 0
122 Skreia 1 0 0 1 -12 0
123 Langevag 1 0 0 1 -13 0
124 Eidanger 1 0 0 1 -15 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aurskog Finstadbru Lillestrom
11′
W. Fadil 0–1
S. Foss
15′
G. Nyheim 0–2
H. Melland
Half-time 0–3
89′
G. Nordh 0–3
H. Woxen
Full-time 0–3

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.