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Eliteserien

Referee: R Saggi

Lillestrom

S S U S S

2–0

Full-time

Valerenga

S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Valerenga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,2

Scored

2,7

2,0

Conceded

0,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+2,3

+0,8

This season — Eliteserien · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 57%

75%

38%

Points per game

2,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 57%

50%

63%

Average goals

2,8

2,9

Scored

2,1

1,3

Conceded

0,6

1,6

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%

13 Shots 5

5 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

10 Corners 2

0 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lillestrom 2. · Valerenga 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Viking	10	6	3	1	+11	21
2	Lillestrom	8	6	2	0	+12	20
3	Molde	8	5	1	2	+7	16
4	Stromsgodset	9	4	2	3	+0	14
5	Aalesund	9	4	2	3	-1	14
6	Bodo/Glimt	8	3	4	1	+6	13
7	Sarpsborg 08	7	3	1	3	+2	10
8	Rosenborg	7	2	4	1	+1	10
9	Tromso	8	2	4	2	-3	10
10	Valerenga	8	3	1	4	-3	10
11	Ham-Kam	8	1	6	1	+2	9
12	Sandefjord	8	3	0	5	-4	9
13	Odd	9	3	0	6	-7	9
14	Jerv	8	2	1	5	-8	7
15	Haugesund	8	2	0	6	-6	6
16	Kristiansund	7	0	1	6	-9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Viking	6	4	2	0	+10	14
2	Lillestrom	4	4	0	0	+8	12
3	Molde	5	3	0	2	+3	9
4	Bodo/Glimt	5	1	4	0	+4	7
5	Rosenborg	3	2	1	0	+4	7
6	Valerenga	3	2	1	0	+2	7
7	Jerv	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Aalesund	4	2	1	1	+0	7
9	Tromso	4	2	1	1	-1	7
10	Ham-Kam	4	1	3	0	+3	6
11	Stromsgodset	4	2	0	2	-3	6
12	Odd	5	2	0	3	-3	6
13	Sarpsborg 08	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Haugesund	4	1	0	3	-4	3
15	Kristiansund	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Sandefjord	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sandefjord	5	3	0	2	+2	9
2	Lillestrom	4	2	2	0	+4	8
3	Stromsgodset	5	2	2	1	+3	8
4	Molde	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Viking	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Aalesund	5	2	1	2	-1	7
7	Sarpsborg 08	3	2	0	1	+3	6
8	Bodo/Glimt	3	2	0	1	+2	6
9	Ham-Kam	4	0	3	1	-1	3
10	Haugesund	4	1	0	3	-2	3
11	Tromso	4	0	3	1	-2	3
12	Rosenborg	4	0	3	1	-3	3
13	Odd	4	1	0	3	-4	3
14	Valerenga	5	1	0	4	-5	3
15	Kristiansund	4	0	0	4	-5	0
16	Jerv	4	0	0	4	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.