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Eliteserien

Referee: K Hagenes

Valerenga

U T S T T

3–4

Full-time

Lillestrom

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

0,8

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,5

Scored

1,2

2,0

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,5

This season — Eliteserien · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,3

4,0

Scored

0,7

2,0

Conceded

1,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

40% Possession 60%

7 Shots 22

5 Shots on target 8

0 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 8

14 Free kicks against 6

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valerenga 14. · Lillestrom 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	4	3	1	0	+9	10
2	Tromso	4	2	2	0	+2	8
3	Viking	4	2	1	1	+5	7
4	Brann	4	2	1	1	+3	7
5	Stabaek	4	2	1	1	+0	7
6	Odd	4	1	3	0	+2	6
7	Rosenborg	4	1	3	0	+1	6
8	Lillestrom	3	2	0	1	+0	6
9	Ham-Kam	4	2	0	2	-1	6
10	Sandefjord	4	1	2	1	+2	5
11	Sarpsborg 08	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Haugesund	4	1	1	2	-5	4
13	Stromsgodset	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	Valerenga	3	1	0	2	-3	3
15	Molde	4	0	1	3	-3	1
16	Aalesund	4	0	0	4	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Viking	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Brann	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Ham-Kam	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Lillestrom	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Bodo/Glimt	2	1	1	0	+4	4
6	Sandefjord	2	1	1	0	+4	4
7	Stabaek	2	1	1	0	+3	4
8	Odd	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Haugesund	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Rosenborg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Tromso	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	Stromsgodset	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Molde	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Sarpsborg 08	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Valerenga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Aalesund	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Sarpsborg 08	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Tromso	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Valerenga	2	1	0	1	-1	3
5	Stabaek	2	1	0	1	-3	3
6	Rosenborg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
7	Odd	2	0	2	0	+0	2
8	Viking	2	0	1	1	-1	1
9	Brann	2	0	1	1	-2	1
10	Sandefjord	2	0	1	1	-2	1
11	Molde	2	0	0	2	-2	0
12	Lillestrom	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Stromsgodset	2	0	0	2	-3	0
14	Ham-Kam	2	0	0	2	-5	0
15	Aalesund	2	0	0	2	-5	0
16	Haugesund	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.