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Referee: Lothar D'hondt

Mechelen

T T U T U

0–4

Full-time

Westerlo

T T T T U

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Westerlo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,5

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,5

4,2

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

2,3

3,3

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-2,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 4/5 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,5

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 55%

50%

60%

Average goals

3,5

4,6

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

2,3

3,6

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-2,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

56% Possession 44%

8 Shots 21

1 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 6

2 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mechelen 15. · Westerlo 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	6	5	0	1	+8	+4.7	15
2	Charleroi	6	5	0	1	+7	+4.5	15
3	St. Gilloise	5	4	1	0	+11	+1.2	13
4	Gent	4	4	0	0	+5	+2.2	12
5	Waregem	4	2	2	0	+5	+1.9	8
6	Standard	4	2	2	0	+3	-0.4	8
7	Genk	4	2	1	1	+4	+5.3	7
8	Lommel SK	5	2	1	2	+3	–	7
9	Lommel United	5	2	1	2	+3	-0.5	7
10	Antwerp	4	2	1	1	+1	-0.4	7
11	St Truiden	5	1	3	1	+0	+1.0	6
12	Anderlecht	4	2	0	2	-2	+2.7	6
13	Beveren	4	1	0	3	-8	-6.2	3
14	Cercle Brugge	5	0	2	3	-3	-0.2	2
15	Mechelen	4	0	2	2	-4	-1.0	2
16	RAAL La Louviere	4	0	1	3	-4	-3.0	1
17	Westerlo	5	0	1	4	-13	-4.9	1
18	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	4	0	0	4	-7	-3.5	0
19	Kortrijk	4	0	0	4	-9	-3.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gent	3	3	0	0	+4	+1.6	9
2	Genk	2	2	0	0	+5	+5.8	6
3	Waregem	2	2	0	0	+5	+1.8	6
4	Club Brugge	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.2	6
5	Charleroi	3	2	0	1	+3	+3.1	6
6	Anderlecht	2	2	0	0	+2	+2.3	6
7	St. Gilloise	2	1	1	0	+3	+0.2	4
8	Standard	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.2	4
9	Antwerp	3	1	1	1	-2	-0.8	4
10	Lommel SK	3	1	0	2	+2	–	3
11	Lommel United	3	1	0	2	+2	-0.4	3
12	Beveren	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.6	3
13	St Truiden	3	0	2	1	-3	+0.5	2
14	Mechelen	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
15	RAAL La Louviere	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.6	1
16	Cercle Brugge	3	0	1	2	-2	+1.7	1
17	Westerlo	2	0	1	1	-4	-1.0	1
18	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.7	0
19	Kortrijk	2	0	0	2	-5	-0.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	3	3	0	0	+8	+1.0	9
2	Club Brugge	4	3	0	1	+4	+1.5	9
3	Charleroi	3	3	0	0	+4	+1.4	9
4	St Truiden	2	1	1	0	+3	+0.5	4
5	Standard	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.6	4
6	Lommel SK	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
7	Lommel United	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.1	4
8	Antwerp	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.4	3
9	Gent	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
10	Waregem	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.1	2
11	Genk	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.5	1
12	Cercle Brugge	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.9	1
13	Mechelen	3	0	1	2	-4	-2.1	1
14	RAAL La Louviere	2	0	0	2	-3	-2.4	0
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.8	0
16	Kortrijk	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.5	0
17	Anderlecht	2	0	0	2	-4	+0.4	0
18	Westerlo	3	0	0	3	-9	-3.9	0
19	Beveren	3	0	0	3	-9	-5.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.