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Pro League
Referee: Bram Van Driessche
Mechelen
T U U T T
3–3
Full-time
Standard
S U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Standard
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
2,0
4,0
Scored
0,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

2,75 xG 1,64
53% Possession 47%
19 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 2
4 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 17
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mechelen 16. · Standard 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Club Brugge 2 2 0 0 +6 +4.7 6
2 Antwerp 2 2 0 0 +4 +1.7 6
3 Charleroi 2 2 0 0 +3 +1.8 6
4 Gent 2 2 0 0 +3 +1.5 6
5 St. Gilloise 2 1 1 0 +4 +0.9 4
6 Waregem 2 1 1 0 +1 +0.1 4
7 St Truiden 3 0 3 0 +0 -1.6 3
8 Genk 2 1 0 1 +0 +3.4 3
9 Anderlecht 2 1 0 1 +0 +2.9 3
10 Beveren 2 1 0 1 +0 -1.9 3
11 Cercle Brugge 2 0 2 0 +0 +1.0 2
12 Standard 1 0 1 0 +0 +1.1 1
13 Lommel United 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.5 1
14 Lommel SK 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 RAAL La Louviere 2 0 0 2 -2 -2.9 0
16 Mechelen 1 0 0 1 -2 -0.8 0
17 Westerlo 2 0 0 2 -5 -4.4 0
18 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2 0 0 2 -5 -4.1 0
19 Kortrijk 2 0 0 2 -6 -2.9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Standard
9′
B. Nguene 0–1
M. Fossey
24′
A. Abid 0–2
C. Nielsen
33′
🟨 Gustav Mortensen
C. Van Meirvenne 🔁
↦ L. F. Hjelde
38′
1–2 T. Koudou
M. Lohunanu-Mbasi
45′
Half-time 1–2
B. Raman 🔁
↦ D. Salifou
46′
62′
🔁 H. Lawrence
↦ M. Fossey
62′
🔁 R. Fosso
↦ R. Touzghar
65′
A. Abid 1–3
C. Nielsen
70′
🔁 D. Dierckx
↦ B. Nguene
70′
🔁 T. Nkada
↦ A. Trouillet
I. Struyf 🔁
↦ L. Marijnissen
75′
B. Bafdili 🔁
↦ D. Praet
80′
S. Ayodele 🔁
↦ T. Koudou
80′
José Marsà ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
85′
89′
🔁 T. Mohr
↦ G. Mortensen
2–3 M. van Brederode
89′
3–3 M. van Brederode
90′
95′
🟨 Ryan Fosso
Adeshina Ayodele ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
97′
101′
🟨 Matthieu Epolo
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Mechelen

4-2-3-1
13 N. Miras G
39 M. Decoene D
2 L. Marijnissen D
5 L. F. Hjelde D
3 J. Marsa D
8 D. Salifou M
6 F. Hammar M
7 T. Koudou M
26 D. Praet M
9 M. van Brederode M
19 M. Lohunanu-Mbasi F
Bench (9)
1 O. De Wolf
20 K. Corbanie
18 I. Struyf
10 M. Kireev
40 A. Ouahabi
11 B. Bafdili
14 B. Raman
16 S. Ayodele
17 C. Van Meirvenne

Coach: Frederic Vanderbiest

Standard

4-3-3
1 M. Epolo G
13 M. Fossey D
20 I. Karamoko D
25 I. Hautekiet D
3 G. Mortensen D
94 C. Nielsen M
22 A. Trouillet M
84 R. Touzghar M
17 B. Nguene F
10 D. Eckert F
11 A. Abid F
Bench (9)
21 L. Pirard
29 D. Dierckx
18 H. Lawrence
80 R. Fosso
7 T. Mohr
19 S. Jasper
59 T. Nkada
77 B. Nsimba
15 S. Drammeh

Coach: Vincent Euvrard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,59
U ✓
3,26
B
2,62
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,92
U2,5
1,80
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Bram Van Driessche · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.