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Pro League

Referee: J Vergoote

St Truiden

S S T U T

3–0

Full-time

Mechelen

T S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Mechelen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

4,0

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,3

2,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 47%

55%

38%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

48%

45%

Both score Ø 57%

52%

62%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

1,4

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,52 xG 0,42

47% Possession 53%

11 Shots 7

3 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 2

4 Offside 0

6 Free kicks against 5

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Truiden 3. · Mechelen 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	29	23	2	4	+38	+22.3	71
2	St. Gilloise	29	18	9	2	+28	+22.7	63
3	St Truiden	29	16	4	9	+12	+14.0	52
4	Genk	29	12	10	7	+9	+13.1	46
5	Mechelen	29	11	10	8	-1	-13.2	43
6	Gent	28	11	8	9	+3	+2.9	41
7	Waregem	30	12	4	14	-1	-4.9	40
8	Standard	30	11	7	12	-7	-11.6	40
9	Antwerp	30	11	6	13	-2	-1.0	39
10	Anderlecht	29	10	8	11	+0	-0.8	38
11	Cercle Brugge	30	10	7	13	-2	+3.7	37
12	Charleroi	30	10	6	14	-2	-2.1	36
13	Westerlo	30	9	8	13	-10	-3.4	35
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	30	6	9	15	-17	-10.7	27
15	RAAL La Louviere	30	5	10	15	-17	-10.8	25
16	Dender	32	4	7	21	-32	-20.1	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	14	13	1	0	+26	+15.5	40
2	Club Brugge	14	11	1	2	+22	+10.9	34
3	St Truiden	14	9	1	4	+4	+9.3	28
4	Genk	15	6	6	3	+7	+11.2	24
5	Waregem	15	7	2	6	+4	+1.3	23
6	Gent	14	6	4	4	+6	+0.8	22
7	Antwerp	15	6	3	6	-1	+2.3	21
8	Anderlecht	15	5	5	5	+5	+4.7	20
9	Mechelen	15	5	5	5	-1	-4.0	20
10	Charleroi	15	4	4	7	-2	+0.2	16
11	Westerlo	15	4	4	7	-3	-2.5	16
12	RAAL La Louviere	15	3	6	6	-4	-2.5	15
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	15	3	4	8	-5	-3.4	13
14	Cercle Brugge	15	3	3	9	-7	+1.4	12
15	Standard	15	2	6	7	-10	-5.2	12
16	Dender	16	2	3	11	-19	-10.1	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	15	12	1	2	+16	+11.4	37
2	Standard	15	9	1	5	+3	-6.3	28
3	Cercle Brugge	15	7	4	4	+5	+2.2	25
4	St Truiden	15	7	3	5	+8	+4.8	24
5	St. Gilloise	15	5	8	2	+2	+7.2	23
6	Mechelen	14	6	5	3	+0	-9.2	23
7	Genk	14	6	4	4	+2	+2.0	22
8	Charleroi	15	6	2	7	+0	-2.3	20
9	Gent	14	5	4	5	-3	+2.0	19
10	Westerlo	15	5	4	6	-7	-0.9	19
11	Antwerp	15	5	3	7	-1	-3.4	18
12	Anderlecht	14	5	3	6	-5	-5.5	18
13	Waregem	15	5	2	8	-5	-6.2	17
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	15	3	5	7	-12	-7.4	14
15	Dender	16	2	4	10	-13	-10.0	10
16	RAAL La Louviere	15	2	4	9	-13	-8.3	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.