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Pro League
Referee: E Lambrechts
Mechelen
T T S S U
1–1
Full-time
Westerlo
U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Westerlo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 14/15 matches
Win Ø 39%
50%
27%
Points per game
1,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
29%
53%
Both score Ø 52%
57%
47%
Average goals
2,2
3,3
Scored
1,4
1,5
Conceded
0,9
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,46 xG 0,99
63% Possession 37%
14 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
9 Corners 5
5 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mechelen 4. · Westerlo 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Club Brugge 15 11 1 3 +13 +4.4 34
2 St. Gilloise 14 9 5 0 +21 +16.7 32
3 St Truiden 13 9 2 2 +7 +11.9 29
4 Mechelen 14 7 5 2 +7 -3.9 26
5 Gent 12 8 1 3 +9 +3.8 25
6 Waregem 17 6 3 8 -3 -6.2 21
7 Anderlecht 14 5 5 4 +2 +4.3 20
8 Antwerp 15 5 4 6 +0 -3.9 19
9 Cercle Brugge 18 4 6 8 -2 +0.9 18
10 Westerlo 15 4 5 6 -3 +4.9 17
11 RAAL La Louviere 17 4 5 8 -6 -7.1 17
12 Charleroi 14 4 3 7 -4 -1.6 15
13 Standard 15 4 3 8 -13 -8.9 15
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 15 3 5 7 -7 -4.6 14
15 Genk 12 3 4 5 -3 +0.9 13
16 Dender 18 2 5 11 -18 -11.5 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Westerlo
16′
Nacho 0–1
S. Saito
Half-time 0–1
K. Mrabti 🔁
↦ M. Konate
46′
B. Antonio 🔁
↦ T. Koudou
46′
Bill Antonio 🟨
56′
58′
🔁 J. Alcocer
↦ S. Saito
62′
🟨 Bryan Reynolds
K. Vanrafelghem 🔁
↦ M. Kireev
65′
Tommy St. Jago 🟨
66′
78′
🔁 K. Vaesen
↦ Nacho
78′
🔁 T. Van den Keybus
↦ A. Sayyadmanesh
H. Bande 🔁
↦ J. Marsa
87′
1–1 K. Mrabti
M. Servais
88′
90′
🔁 S. Sydorchuk
↦ A. Piedfort
90′
🔁 N. Bohamdi-Kamoni
↦ I. Sakamoto
Full-time 1–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,67
U ✓
3,54
B
2,39
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,55
U2,5 ✓
2,32
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Lambrechts · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.