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Pro League

Referee: Jan Boterberg

Charleroi

U S S S S

2–0

Full-time

Mechelen

U U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Mechelen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

17%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,8

3,7

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

0,5

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 3/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,0

4,0

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

0,3

2,5

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,44 xG 0,23

60% Possession 40%

12 Shots 5

4 Shots on target 0

2 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 2

8 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Charleroi 1. · Mechelen 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Charleroi	3	3	0	0	+4	+2.8	9
2	Waregem	3	2	1	0	+5	+1.9	7
3	Club Brugge	2	2	0	0	+6	+4.7	6
4	Antwerp	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.7	6
5	Gent	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.5	6
6	Standard	3	1	2	0	+2	+0.1	5
7	St. Gilloise	2	1	1	0	+4	+0.9	4
8	St Truiden	3	0	3	0	+0	-1.6	3
9	Genk	2	1	0	1	+0	+3.4	3
10	Anderlecht	2	1	0	1	+0	+2.9	3
11	Beveren	3	1	0	2	-4	-3.7	3
12	Cercle Brugge	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.0	2
13	Lommel SK	2	0	1	1	-1	–	1
14	Lommel United	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.4	1
15	Mechelen	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.3	1
16	RAAL La Louviere	3	0	0	3	-4	-3.0	0
17	Westerlo	2	0	0	2	-5	-4.4	0
18	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2	0	0	2	-5	-4.1	0
19	Kortrijk	2	0	0	2	-6	-2.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Waregem	2	2	0	0	+5	+1.8	6
2	Standard	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.2	4
3	Club Brugge	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.5	3
4	Charleroi	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.8	3
5	Gent	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
6	Genk	1	1	0	0	+1	+3.4	3
7	Anderlecht	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.3	3
8	Antwerp	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.2	3
9	Beveren	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.6	3
10	St Truiden	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.5	2
11	Cercle Brugge	1	0	1	0	+0	+2.1	1
12	Mechelen	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
13	St. Gilloise	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
14	RAAL La Louviere	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.6	0
15	Lommel SK	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
16	Lommel United	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
17	Kortrijk	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.4	0
18	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.2	0
19	Westerlo	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Charleroi	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.9	6
2	St. Gilloise	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.0	3
3	Antwerp	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.4	3
4	Club Brugge	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.2	3
5	Gent	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
6	St Truiden	1	0	1	0	+0	-2.1	1
7	Standard	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
8	Cercle Brugge	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
9	Lommel SK	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
10	Lommel United	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
11	Waregem	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
12	Westerlo	1	0	0	1	-1	-3.4	0
13	Genk	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.0	0
14	Anderlecht	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.6	0
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.8	0
16	Mechelen	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
17	RAAL La Louviere	2	0	0	2	-3	-2.4	0
18	Kortrijk	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.5	0
19	Beveren	2	0	0	2	-5	-3.1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.