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Pro League
Referee: Michiel Allaerts
Charleroi
S S T U S
3–1
Full-time
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,7
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
0,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

3,15 xG 1,30
58% Possession 42%
24 Shots 12
10 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 2
5 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. May -26 Charleroi – Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1–1 25. Apr -26 Oud-Heverlee Leuven – Charleroi 0–2 24. May -25 Charleroi – Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2–1 28. Mar -25 Oud-Heverlee Leuven – Charleroi 0–0 17. Feb -24 Oud-Heverlee Leuven – Charleroi 0–0

Match report

Charleroi Oud-Heverlee Leuven
20′
🟨 Abdoul Karim Traoré
Aiham Ousou ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
22′
1–0 P. Guiagon ⚽
24′
30′
🟥 Abdoul Karim Traoré
Aiham Ousou 🟨
31′
39′
⚽ O. Gil 1–1
W. George
45′
🟨 Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi
Half-time 1–1
I. Cisse 🔁
↦ A. Boukamir
46′
Cheick Keita ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
47′
2–1 K. Van Den Kerkhof ⚽
59′
64′
🔁 T. Ogiwara
↦ H. Teklab
64′
🔁 D. Opoku
↦ O. Gil
A. Bojang 🔁
↦ P. Pflucke
68′
70′
🔁 L. Lakomy
↦ W. George
J. Romsaas 🔁
↦ A. Scheidler
74′
F. Mbemba 🔁
↦ P. Guiagon
74′
76′
🔁 K. Vaesen
↦ W. Balikwisha
76′
🔁 S. Yamada
↦ C. Ikwuemesi
3–1 F. Mbemba ⚽
I. Cisse
79′
A. Colassin 🔁
↦ A. Bernier
83′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Charleroi

4-2-3-1
30 M. Kone G
3 K. Van Den Kerkhof D
4 A. Ousou D
95 C. Keita D
24 M. Nzita D
6 A. Boukamir M
18 Y. Khalifi M
17 A. Bernier M
14 P. Pflucke M
10 P. Guiagon M
21 A. Scheidler F
Bench (9)
1 M. Delavallee
25 A. Colassin
8 J. Romsaas
20 F. Mbemba
65 R. Teugels
44 M. Sow
33 N. Solheid
19 I. Cisse
9 A. Bojang

Coach: Mario Kohnen

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

3-4-3
16 D. van den Heuvel G
28 E. Pletinckx D
3 N. Dussenne D
34 R. Nyakossi D
27 O. Gil M
6 W. George M
8 S. Schrijvers M
11 H. Teklab M
21 W. Balikwisha F
19 C. Ikwuemesi F
9 A. K. Traore F
Bench (10)
1 T. Leysen
26 T. Ogiwara
48 B. Kayo
4 B. Verstraete
24 L. Lakomy
5 J. Lawrence
17 K. Vaesen
20 S. Yamada
99 D. Opoku
72 S. Murru

Coach: Timmy Simons

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,76
🔒
U
3,52
🔒
B
4,26
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,98
🔒
U2,5
1,75
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.