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Pro League

Referee: L D'hondt

Charleroi

T T T S S

1–2

Full-time

St. Gilloise

S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi St. Gilloise

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,2

Scored

0,8

1,7

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

33%

42%

Both score Ø 38%

25%

50%

Average goals

1,9

2,3

Scored

1,1

1,3

Conceded

0,8

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,69 xG 1,27

48% Possession 52%

8 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 8

0 Offside 4

12 Free kicks against 13

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Charleroi 6. · St. Gilloise 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	13	9	3	1	+20	+13.3	30
2	Genk	13	9	2	2	+12	+15.4	29
3	Antwerp	12	8	3	1	+19	+5.2	27
4	Anderlecht	14	7	5	2	+16	+9.0	26
5	Gent	14	7	4	3	+14	-0.0	25
6	Charleroi	12	6	2	4	+3	+3.3	20
7	Dender	14	5	5	4	-1	-3.2	20
8	St. Gilloise	12	4	6	2	+5	+7.6	18
9	Standard	13	5	3	5	-8	-7.5	18
10	Cercle Brugge	15	4	4	7	-12	-7.4	16
11	St Truiden	17	4	4	9	-18	-7.7	16
12	Mechelen	13	4	3	6	+0	-2.4	15
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	14	2	7	5	-4	+1.9	13
14	Westerlo	14	3	3	8	-4	-1.8	12
15	Kortrijk	17	3	1	13	-25	-11.6	10
16	Beerschot VA	15	1	5	9	-17	-14.1	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	8	7	1	0	+13	+9.2	22
2	Gent	7	5	1	1	+14	+3.4	16
3	Standard	7	5	1	1	+4	-2.2	16
4	Anderlecht	8	4	3	1	+8	+3.7	15
5	Club Brugge	5	4	1	0	+14	+9.6	13
6	Antwerp	6	4	1	1	+14	+5.5	13
7	Charleroi	6	4	1	1	+5	+4.8	13
8	St Truiden	9	3	4	2	-1	+0.4	13
9	St. Gilloise	5	4	0	1	+6	+8.5	12
10	Westerlo	8	3	2	3	+5	+8.8	11
11	Mechelen	7	3	2	2	+5	+0.9	11
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	8	2	5	1	+3	+3.5	11
13	Cercle Brugge	7	3	2	2	-2	-0.3	11
14	Kortrijk	8	3	0	5	-5	-1.3	9
15	Beerschot VA	7	1	4	2	-1	-4.7	7
16	Dender	5	1	2	2	+0	+0.6	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	8	5	2	1	+6	+3.7	17
2	Dender	9	4	3	2	-1	-3.8	15
3	Antwerp	6	4	2	0	+5	-0.3	14
4	Anderlecht	6	3	2	1	+8	+5.3	11
5	Gent	7	2	3	2	+0	-3.5	9
6	Genk	5	2	1	2	-1	+6.2	7
7	Charleroi	6	2	1	3	-2	-1.5	7
8	St. Gilloise	7	0	6	1	-1	-0.9	6
9	Cercle Brugge	8	1	2	5	-10	-7.0	5
10	Mechelen	6	1	1	4	-5	-3.4	4
11	St Truiden	8	1	0	7	-17	-8.2	3
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	6	0	2	4	-7	-1.5	2
13	Standard	6	0	2	4	-12	-5.4	2
14	Westerlo	6	0	1	5	-9	-10.5	1
15	Beerschot VA	8	0	1	7	-16	-9.4	1
16	Kortrijk	9	0	1	8	-20	-10.3	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.