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Lommel SK

0–1

Full-time

Charleroi

S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lommel SK Charleroi

Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 9%

17%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

2,0

4,0

Scored

1,0

3,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

8 Shots 23

0 Shots on target 5

2 Corners 12

8 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lommel SK 13. · Charleroi 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	2	2	0	0	+6	+4.7	6
2	Antwerp	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.7	6
3	Gent	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.5	6
4	St. Gilloise	2	1	1	0	+4	+0.9	4
5	Waregem	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.1	4
6	Charleroi	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.8	3
7	St Truiden	3	0	3	0	+0	-1.6	3
8	Genk	2	1	0	1	+0	+3.4	3
9	Anderlecht	2	1	0	1	+0	+2.9	3
10	Beveren	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.9	3
11	Cercle Brugge	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.0	2
12	Standard	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
13	Lommel SK	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
14	Lommel United	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
15	RAAL La Louviere	2	0	0	2	-2	-2.9	0
16	Mechelen	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
17	Westerlo	2	0	0	2	-5	-4.4	0
18	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2	0	0	2	-5	-4.1	0
19	Kortrijk	2	0	0	2	-6	-2.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.5	3
2	Charleroi	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.8	3
3	Gent	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
4	Genk	1	1	0	0	+1	+3.4	3
5	Waregem	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.0	3
6	Anderlecht	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.3	3
7	Antwerp	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.2	3
8	Beveren	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.6	3
9	St Truiden	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.5	2
10	Cercle Brugge	1	0	1	0	+0	+2.1	1
11	Standard	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
12	St. Gilloise	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
13	RAAL La Louviere	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.6	0
14	Kortrijk	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.4	0
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.2	0
16	Westerlo	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.0	3
2	Antwerp	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.4	3
3	Club Brugge	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.2	3
4	Gent	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
5	St Truiden	1	0	1	0	+0	-2.1	1
6	Cercle Brugge	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
7	Lommel SK	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
8	Lommel United	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
9	Waregem	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
10	Westerlo	1	0	0	1	-1	-3.4	0
11	Genk	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.0	0
12	RAAL La Louviere	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.3	0
13	Beveren	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.2	0
14	Anderlecht	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.6	0
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.8	0
16	Mechelen	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
17	Kortrijk	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

3,24

🔒

3,46

🔒

B ✓

2,08

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5

–

🔒

U1,5 ✓

–

🔒

O2,5

1,78

🔒

U2,5 ✓

1,94

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

🔒

Recent matches

8. Aug PD 1 month ago

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match stats

Odds comparison

Recent matches