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Pro League
Referee: Anthony Letellier
St Truiden
T U T S U
1–1
Full-time
Lommel United
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Lommel United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,3
2,3
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,98 xG 1,49
66% Possession 34%
32 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 2
14 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 2
3 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

St Truiden Lommel United
21′
ℹ️ Timothy Eyoma
VAR: Penalty confirmed
24′
⚽ R. Seuntjens 0–1
Robert-Jan Vanwesemael ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
36′
Half-time 0–1
49′
🔁 J. Talvitie
↦ S. Nypan
56′
🔁 Z. Vancsa
↦ S. Appuah
1–1 I. Sebaoui ⚽
N. Ishiwatari
64′
K. Matsuzawa 🔁
↦ R. Merlen
68′
73′
🔁 S. Adewoye
↦ H. Oware
73′
🔁 L. Beirinckx
↦ R. Seuntjens
Nelson Ishiwatari 🟨
75′
O. Diouf 🔁
↦ F. Soelle
76′
S. Shinkawa 🔁
↦ J. Pupe
89′
Oumar Diouf ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

St Truiden

16 L. Kokubo G
3 T. Hata D
4 L. Mbe Soh D
26 V. Musliu D
23 J. Pupe D
18 N. Ishiwatari M
8 A. Sissako M
60 R. Vanwesemael M
14 R. Merlen M
10 I. Sebaoui M
19 F. Soelle F
Bench (9)
21 M. Lendfers
22 W. Janssens
33 A. Diriken
99 S. Shinkawa
5 S. Taniguchi
71 R. Araki
77 O. Diouf
38 K. Matsuzawa
39 R. Verheyden

Lommel United

4-2-3-1
23 M. Pieklak G
2 J. van Duiven D
3 T. Eyoma D
5 D. Wouters D
34 H. Oware D
15 L. Schoofs M
6 J. Pelupessy M
10 T. Reyners M
41 S. Nypan M
21 S. Appuah M
30 R. Seuntjens F
Bench (9)
1 N. Ivezic
8 N. Rommens
4 S. Adewoye
11 Z. Vancsa
22 D. Gordic
44 I. Dada-Mascoll
7 J. Talvitie
98 M. Salah
60 L. Beirinckx

Coach: Lee Johnson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.