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Pro League
Referee: W De Cremer
Antwerp
S S T T T
1–0
Full-time
St Truiden
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Antwerp St Truiden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,0
2,3
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 18/17 matches
Win Ø 52%
33%
71%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
44%
53%
Both score Ø 52%
50%
53%
Average goals
2,3
2,6
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,1
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,23 xG 0,63
30% Possession 70%
12 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Antwerp 9. · St Truiden 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Club Brugge 18 14 1 3 +18 +6.8 43
2 St. Gilloise 17 11 6 0 +23 +19.2 39
3 St Truiden 17 12 2 3 +13 +16.3 38
4 Mechelen 20 10 7 3 +11 -4.3 37
5 Gent 16 9 2 5 +7 +2.8 29
6 Anderlecht 18 6 6 6 +0 +3.6 24
7 Cercle Brugge 22 6 6 10 -5 -0.9 24
8 Genk 15 6 4 5 +1 +0.9 22
9 Antwerp 18 6 4 8 +1 -2.1 22
10 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 19 5 6 8 -5 -3.9 21
11 Westerlo 18 5 6 7 -6 +1.1 21
12 Waregem 21 6 3 12 -8 -6.1 21
13 RAAL La Louviere 22 4 8 10 -9 -9.9 20
14 Standard 19 5 5 9 -14 -10.4 20
15 Charleroi 17 5 3 9 -4 -2.7 18
16 Dender 21 2 5 14 -23 -10.5 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Antwerp St Truiden
3′
🟨 Arbnor Muja
Vincent Janssen 🟨
26′
Zeno Van Den Bosch 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 A. Valencia
51′
60′
🔁 T. Hata
↦ A. Muja
60′
🔁 K. Matsuzawa
↦ S. Jukleroed
72′
🔁 R. Merlen
↦ A. Sissako
81′
ℹ️ Kaito Matsuzawa
VAR: Penalty cancelled
Y. Hamdaoui 🔁
↦ A. Valencia
85′
L. Schelfhout 🔁
↦ S. Renders
85′
85′
🔁 O. Diouf
↦ R. Ito
G. Vandeplas 🔁
↦ V. Janssen
93′
O. Achihi 🔁
↦ G. Kerk
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Antwerp

3-4-2-1
41 T. Nozawa G
33 Z. Van Den Bosch D
4 Y. Tsunashima D
23 G. Bijl D
17 S. Renders M
8 D. Praet M
30 C. Scott M
5 D. Foulon M
14 A. Valencia F
7 G. Kerk F
18 V. Janssen F
Bench (9)
15 Y. Thoelen
79 G. Vandeplas
34 M. Diawara
10 I. Babadi
56 E. Tuypens
43 Y. Hamdaoui
78 X. Dierckx
76 O. Achihi
82 L. Schelfhout

Coach: Faris Haroun

St Truiden

4-3-3
16 L. Kokubo G
60 R. Vanwesemael D
5 S. Taniguchi D
4 L. Mbe Soh D
18 S. Jukleroed
6 R. Yamamoto M
13 R. Ito M
8 A. Sissako M
7 A. Muja F
42 K. Goto F
10 I. Sebaoui F
Bench (9)
21 M. Lendfers
22 W. Janssens
3 T. Hata
11 I. Delpupo
33 A. Diriken
14 R. Merlen
23 J. Pupe
77 O. Diouf
38 K. Matsuzawa

Coach: Wouter Vrancken

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,98
U
3,30
B
2,25
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,83
U2,5 ✓
1,87
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

W De Cremer · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.