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Pro League
Referee: Nathan Verboomen
St Truiden
S U T T S
1–0
Full-time
Antwerp
U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Antwerp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 29%
43%
14%
Points per game
1,6
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
43%
29%
Both score Ø 57%
57%
57%
Average goals
2,4
1,9
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,56 xG 0,54
71% Possession 29%
22 Shots 5
9 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
6 Corners 4
4 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match St Truiden 9. · Antwerp 14.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 9 7 2 0 +17 +14.3 23
2 Club Brugge 9 7 1 1 +7 +2.7 22
3 Gent 8 6 0 2 +5 +3.8 18
4 Mechelen 9 4 4 1 +5 -1.5 16
5 Waregem 11 5 1 5 +0 -4.7 16
6 Anderlecht 9 4 3 2 +6 +6.2 15
7 Genk 8 3 3 2 +1 +1.2 12
8 RAAL La Louviere 10 3 3 4 -2 -5.8 12
9 St Truiden 7 3 2 2 +1 +4.7 11
10 Cercle Brugge 10 2 4 4 -1 +1.3 10
11 Charleroi 9 3 1 5 -3 -2.0 10
12 Westerlo 9 2 3 4 -4 -1.3 9
13 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 8 2 2 4 -4 -2.1 8
14 Antwerp 7 1 3 3 -3 -3.5 6
15 Standard 8 1 2 5 -10 -5.5 5
16 Dender 11 0 2 9 -15 -7.6 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Truiden Antwerp
Arbnor Muja 🟨
13′
1–0 R. Ito
A. Sissako
16′
17′
🟨 Mahamadou Diawara
22′
🟥 Daam Foulon
43′
🔁 D. Praet
↦ M. Diawara
Half-time 1–0
60′
🔁 C. Scott
↦ Y. Hamdaoui
K. Matsuzawa 🔁
↦ A. Muja
68′
70′
🟨 Mauricio Benitez
70′
🔁 I. Babadi
↦ M. Benitez
70′
🔁 G. Bijl
↦ K. Kouyate
Keisuke Goto 🟨
71′
A. Ferrari 🔁
↦ K. Goto
80′
Léo Kokubo 🟨
84′
A. Diriken 🔁
↦ R. Ito
89′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

St Truiden

4-2-3-1
16 L. Kokubo G
3 T. Hata D
20 R. Van Helden D
5 S. Taniguchi D
18 S. Jukleroed
6 R. Yamamoto M
8 A. Sissako M
7 A. Muja M
13 R. Ito M
10 I. Sebaoui M
42 K. Goto F
Bench (9)
21 M. Lendfers
9 A. Ferrari
11 I. Delpupo
22 W. Janssens
31 I. Benachour
33 A. Diriken
34 H. Lambotte
38 K. Matsuzawa
53 A. Nhaili

Coach: Wouter Vrancken

Antwerp

3-4-1-2
41 T. Nozawa G
33 Z. Van Den Bosch D
25 K. Kouyate D
4 Y. Tsunashima D
24 T. Somers M
16 M. Benitez M
34 M. Diawara M
5 D. Foulon M
43 Y. Hamdaoui F
9 M. Al Sahafi F
18 V. Janssen F
Bench (9)
15 Y. Thoelen
2 K. Corbanie
8 D. Praet
10 I. Babadi
23 G. Bijl
26 R. Bozhinov
30 C. Scott
78 X. Dierckx
92 D. Gabriel Jesus

Coach: Stef Wils

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,03
U
3,49
B
3,45
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,76
U2,5 ✓
1,97
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Nathan Verboomen · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.