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Pro League
Referee: Jan Boterberg
Cercle Brugge
S S T T U
3–3
Full-time
St Truiden
U T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cercle Brugge St Truiden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,2
2,5
Scored
2,3
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 1/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,0
2,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

4,15 xG 2,04
55% Possession 45%
26 Shots 13
8 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
10 Corners 3
1 Offside 4
7 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cercle Brugge 10. · St Truiden 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 1 1 0 0 +4 +1.0 3
2 Club Brugge 1 1 0 0 +3 +2.5 3
3 Charleroi 1 1 0 0 +2 +1.8 3
4 Gent 1 1 0 0 +2 +0.8 3
5 Waregem 1 1 0 0 +1 -0.0 3
6 Anderlecht 1 1 0 0 +1 +2.3 3
7 Antwerp 1 1 0 0 +1 +1.2 3
8 St Truiden 2 0 2 0 +0 +0.5 2
9 Standard 1 0 1 0 +0 +1.1 1
10 Cercle Brugge 1 0 1 0 +0 -1.1 1
11 Lommel SK 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Lommel United 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.5 1
13 Genk 1 0 0 1 -1 +0.0 0
14 RAAL La Louviere 1 0 0 1 -1 -2.3 0
15 Beveren 1 0 0 1 -1 -1.2 0
16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1 0 0 1 -2 -1.8 0
17 Mechelen 1 0 0 1 -2 -0.8 0
18 Kortrijk 1 0 0 1 -3 -2.5 0
19 Westerlo 1 0 0 1 -4 -1.0 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cercle Brugge St Truiden
1′
R. Merlen 0–1
I. Sebaoui
18′
🟨 Nelson Ishiwatari
1–1 S. Ngoura
28′
37′
R. Merlen 1–2
R. Vanwesemael
Half-time 1–3
47′
N. Ishiwatari 1–3
I. Sebaoui
57′
🟨 Joedrick Pupe
L. Michal 🔁
↦ E. Kakou
62′
I. Diakite 🔁
↦ D. Vanzeir
73′
Erick Nunes 🔁
↦ V. Martens
73′
79′
🟨 Loïc Mbe Soh
L. Amani 🔁
↦ L. Mondele
81′
K. Kouassi 🔁
↦ S. Ngoura
81′
2–3 Erick Nunes
82′
87′
🔁 S. Taniguchi
↦ F. Soelle
87′
🔁 W. Janssens
↦ N. Ishiwatari
87′
🔁 O. Diouf
↦ R. Merlen
2–4 L. Mbe Soh
own goal
90′
Full-time 2–4

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,30
U ✓
3,51
B
2,81
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,69
U2,5
2,08
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jan Boterberg · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.