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Pro League

Lommel SK

U T

4–0

Full-time

Westerlo

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lommel SK Westerlo

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,5

3,3

Scored

0,5

0,8

Conceded

1,0

2,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,5

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

1,5

5,5

Scored

0,5

1,5

Conceded

1,0

4,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-2,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

13 Shots 17

6 Shots on target 4

5 Corners 4

5 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lommel SK 13. · Westerlo 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Charleroi	4	4	0	0	+6	+4.0	12
2	Waregem	3	2	1	0	+5	+1.9	7
3	Antwerp	3	2	1	0	+4	+2.2	7
4	Club Brugge	2	2	0	0	+6	+4.7	6
5	Gent	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.5	6
6	Standard	3	1	2	0	+2	+0.1	5
7	St. Gilloise	2	1	1	0	+4	+0.9	4
8	Genk	3	1	1	1	+0	+2.9	4
9	St Truiden	3	0	3	0	+0	-1.6	3
10	Anderlecht	2	1	0	1	+0	+2.9	3
11	Beveren	3	1	0	2	-4	-3.7	3
12	Cercle Brugge	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.0	2
13	Lommel SK	2	0	1	1	-1	–	1
14	Lommel United	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.4	1
15	Mechelen	3	0	1	2	-4	-0.9	1
16	RAAL La Louviere	3	0	0	3	-4	-3.0	0
17	Westerlo	2	0	0	2	-5	-4.4	0
18	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2	0	0	2	-5	-4.1	0
19	Kortrijk	2	0	0	2	-6	-2.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Waregem	2	2	0	0	+5	+1.8	6
2	Charleroi	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.1	6
3	Standard	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.2	4
4	Antwerp	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.8	4
5	Club Brugge	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.5	3
6	Gent	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
7	Genk	1	1	0	0	+1	+3.4	3
8	Anderlecht	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.3	3
9	Beveren	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.6	3
10	St Truiden	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.5	2
11	Cercle Brugge	1	0	1	0	+0	+2.1	1
12	Mechelen	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
13	St. Gilloise	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
14	RAAL La Louviere	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.6	0
15	Lommel SK	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
16	Lommel United	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
17	Kortrijk	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.4	0
18	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.2	0
19	Westerlo	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.0	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Charleroi	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.9	6
2	St. Gilloise	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.0	3
3	Antwerp	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.4	3
4	Club Brugge	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.2	3
5	Gent	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
6	St Truiden	1	0	1	0	+0	-2.1	1
7	Standard	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
8	Cercle Brugge	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
9	Lommel SK	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
10	Lommel United	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
11	Waregem	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
12	Genk	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.5	1
13	Westerlo	1	0	0	1	-1	-3.4	0
14	Anderlecht	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.6	0
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.8	0
16	RAAL La Louviere	2	0	0	2	-3	-2.4	0
17	Kortrijk	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.5	0
18	Mechelen	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.0	0
19	Beveren	2	0	0	2	-5	-3.1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.