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Eredivisie
Referee: Allard Lindhout
Cambuur
S T T U T
0–4
Full-time
Excelsior
U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cambuur Excelsior
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,8
Scored
1,5
2,3
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

0,70 xG 3,35
47% Possession 53%
11 Shots 18
2 Shots on target 9
3 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 8
1 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Mar -23 Excelsior – Cambuur 4–1 6. Aug -22 Cambuur – Excelsior 0–2 8. May -16 Cambuur – Excelsior 0–2 20. Dec -15 Excelsior – Cambuur 1–4

Match report

Cambuur Excelsior
17′
⚽ I. Yegoian 0–1
G. de Regt
31′
⚽ N. Naujoks 0–2
I. Yegoian
42′
⚽ D. Garden 0–3
S. Janssen
Half-time 0–3
M. Costarelli 🔁
↦ R. Mulders
46′
S. Bouhoudane 🔁
↦ R. van de Pavert
46′
E. Apkakou 🔁
↦ L. Jetten
65′
69′
⚽ N. Naujoks 0–4
S. Janssen
74′
🔁 N. Groen
↦ D. Garden
75′
🔁 C. Widell
↦ N. Martens
75′
🔁 A. Sliti
↦ I. Yegoian
W. van der Goot 🔁
↦ S. Vink
81′
81′
🔁 O. Turay
↦ S. Janssen
85′
🔁 I. Silva Timas
↦ G. de Regt
93′
ℹ️ Ilano Silva Timas
VAR: Goal cancelled
Full-time 0–4

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,49
🔒
U
3,47
🔒
B ✓
2,60
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,69
🔒
U2,5
2,08
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Allard Lindhout · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.