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Eredivisie
Referee: Sander van der Eijk
Sparta Rotterdam
T T U T T
0–1
Full-time
Feyenoord
U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Feyenoord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
2,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,01 xG 3,53
40% Possession 60%
10 Shots 22
0 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 6
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 10
5 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

18. Jan -26 Feyenoord – Sparta Rotterdam 3–4 31. Aug -25 Sparta Rotterdam – Feyenoord 0–4 8. Feb -25 Feyenoord – Sparta Rotterdam 3–0 25. Aug -24 Sparta Rotterdam – Feyenoord 1–1 11. Feb -24 Feyenoord – Sparta Rotterdam 2–0

Match report

Sparta Rotterdam Feyenoord
35′
⚽ L. Valente 0–1
G. Zechiel
Casper Terho 🟨
39′
Half-time 0–1
R. van Cruijsen 🔁
↦ C. Terho
57′
58′
🟨 Charles Vanhoutte
A. Roaldsoy 🔁
↦ J. Toornstra
62′
M. Zonneveld 🔁
↦ N. Thorisson
62′
71′
🔁 Nacho
↦ A. Ueda
71′
🔁 J. Zinhagel
↦ G. Diarra
72′
🔁 T. Wessels
↦ T. Kraaijeveld
M. van Bergen 🔁
↦ A. Santos
77′
J. Ideho 🔁
↦ S. Mito
77′
82′
🔁 S. van Persie
↦ A. Hadj Moussa
85′
🔁 O. Targhalline
↦ C. Vanhoutte
Bas Kuipers 🟨
97′
Mitchell Van Bergen 🟨
98′
Full-time 0–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,33
🔒
U
4,04
🔒
B ✓
1,67
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
1,51
🔒
U2,5 ✓
2,42
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Sander van der Eijk · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.