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Eredivisie

Referee: B Nijhuis

Sparta Rotterdam

T T T U U

1–4

Full-time

Heerenveen

S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Heerenveen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,8

3,2

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

2,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,8

+0,8

This season — Eredivisie · 5/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,4

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

40%

50%

Both score Ø 45%

40%

50%

Average goals

3,4

3,2

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

2,4

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,4

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

54% Possession 46%

15 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 3

6 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 17. · Heerenveen 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	7	6	0	1	+24	18
2	Vitesse	7	6	0	1	+10	18
3	Twente	7	4	2	1	+10	14
4	PSV Eindhoven	6	4	1	1	+7	13
5	Heerenveen	6	4	1	1	+5	13
6	Groningen	7	4	1	2	+1	13
7	Feyenoord	5	3	2	0	+7	11
8	Utrecht	6	2	3	1	+0	9
9	Heracles	7	2	2	3	-3	8
10	Zwolle	7	1	3	3	-5	6
11	AZ Alkmaar	5	0	5	0	+0	5
12	Waalwijk	6	1	2	3	-5	5
13	Willem II	7	1	2	4	-6	5
14	VVV Venlo	7	1	2	4	-14	5
15	Den Haag	6	1	1	4	-6	4
16	FC Emmen	6	0	3	3	-7	3
17	Sparta Rotterdam	5	0	2	3	-7	2
18	For Sittard	7	0	2	5	-11	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Twente	4	3	1	0	+8	10
3	Heerenveen	3	3	0	0	+7	9
4	Vitesse	3	3	0	0	+6	9
5	Heracles	4	2	1	1	+4	7
6	Utrecht	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	Groningen	4	2	1	1	+0	7
8	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+3	6
9	Feyenoord	2	1	1	0	+2	4
10	Zwolle	4	1	1	2	-1	4
11	Willem II	4	1	0	3	-4	3
12	AZ Alkmaar	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Sparta Rotterdam	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Waalwijk	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	FC Emmen	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Den Haag	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	For Sittard	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	VVV Venlo	3	0	1	2	-14	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vitesse	4	3	0	1	+4	9
2	Feyenoord	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	PSV Eindhoven	4	2	1	1	+4	7
4	Ajax	3	2	0	1	+13	6
5	Groningen	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Twente	3	1	1	1	+2	4
7	VVV Venlo	4	1	1	2	+0	4
8	Heerenveen	3	1	1	1	-2	4
9	AZ Alkmaar	3	0	3	0	+0	3
10	Den Haag	3	1	0	2	-3	3
11	Waalwijk	3	1	0	2	-4	3
12	Willem II	3	0	2	1	-2	2
13	Utrecht	3	0	2	1	-3	2
14	Zwolle	3	0	2	1	-4	2
15	FC Emmen	3	0	1	2	-5	1
16	For Sittard	4	0	1	3	-7	1
17	Heracles	3	0	1	2	-7	1
18	Sparta Rotterdam	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.