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Eredivisie
Referee: A Lindhout
Zwolle
T S U T U
4–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle Sparta Rotterdam
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,7
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
2,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,0
1,5
Scored
0,5
0,0
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

68% Possession 32%
20 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 5
3 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Zwolle 13. · Sparta Rotterdam 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Twente 3 2 1 0 +4 7
2 Heerenveen 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Ajax 2 2 0 0 +4 6
4 PSV Eindhoven 2 2 0 0 +3 6
5 Vitesse 2 2 0 0 +3 6
6 VVV Venlo 2 1 1 0 +2 4
7 Feyenoord 2 1 1 0 +2 4
8 Willem II 2 1 0 1 +2 3
9 Heracles 2 1 0 1 -2 3
10 Groningen 3 1 0 2 -3 3
11 Utrecht 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 AZ Alkmaar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Zwolle 2 0 1 1 -2 1
14 FC Emmen 2 0 0 2 -3 0
15 Sparta Rotterdam 2 0 0 2 -3 0
16 Den Haag 2 0 0 2 -3 0
17 For Sittard 2 0 0 2 -4 0
18 Waalwijk 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zwolle Sparta Rotterdam
Yuta Nakayama 🟨
33′
45′
🟨 Adil Auassar
45′
🟥 Mica Pinto
Half-time 1–0
1–0 R. Ghoochannejhad
47′
2–0 R. Ghoochannejhad
50′
3–0 C. Leemans
54′
63′
🔁 E. Emegha
↦ A. Harroui
M. Saymak 🔁
↦ J. Drost
67′
4–0 Y. Nakayama
C. Leemans
71′
73′
🔁 D. Gravenberch
↦ L. Thy
T. van den Belt 🔁
↦ Y. Nakayama
74′
M. van Duinen 🔁
↦ R. Ghoochannejhad
74′
E. Reijnders 🔁
↦ C. Leemans
82′
S. Tedić 🔁
↦ M. Pherai
82′
82′
🔁 L. Duarte
↦ Jeffry Fortes
82′
🔁 S. Mijnans
↦ A. Auassar
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Zwolle

4-3-3
1 M. Zetterer G
2 B. van Polen D
5 K. Paal D
4 Y. Nakayama M
31 S. van Wermeskerken D
15 S. Kersten D
11 J. Drost M
10 C. Leemans F
25 M. Pherai F
30 D. Huiberts M
8 R. Ghoochannejhad F
Bench (10)
6 M. Saymak
20 T. van den Belt
9 M. van Duinen
23 E. Reijnders
27 S. Tedić
17 D. Bajselmani
16 X. Mous
32 J. Westerman
36 M. Doue
40 M. Hauptmeijer

Coach: J. Stegeman

Sparta Rotterdam

4-4-2
1 B. van Leer G
11 A. Meijers M
8 Jeffry Fortes M
3 B. Vriends D
4 T. Beugelsdijk D
5 Mica Pinto D
2 D. Abels D
6 A. Auassar M
7 A. Harroui M
9 L. Thy F
10 M. Rayhi F
Bench (7)
15 E. Emegha
17 D. Gravenberch
14 L. Duarte
16 S. Mijnans
20 M. Okoye
30 M. Fabrie
12 Lorenzo Fonseca

Coach: H. Fraser

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,13
U
3,63
B
3,15
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,69
U2,5
2,15
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Lindhout · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.