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Bundesliga
Referee: M Petersen
Hertha
S T T T T
1–1
Full-time
Wolfsburg
U U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Wolfsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,0
1,8
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
2,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 20%
20%
20%
Points per game
0,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
80%
20%
Both score Ø 70%
80%
60%
Average goals
4,2
1,4
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
2,4
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

52% Possession 48%
20 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 6
3 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hertha 15. · Wolfsburg 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 6 5 0 1 +15 15
2 Dortmund 6 5 0 1 +11 15
3 RB Leipzig 6 4 1 1 +8 13
4 Leverkusen 6 3 3 0 +5 12
5 M'gladbach 6 3 2 1 +1 11
6 Augsburg 6 3 1 2 +2 10
7 Stuttgart 6 2 3 1 +4 9
8 Werder Bremen 6 2 3 1 +0 9
9 Ein Frankfurt 6 2 3 1 -2 9
10 Hoffenheim 5 2 1 2 +2 7
11 Wolfsburg 5 1 4 0 +1 7
12 Union Berlin 5 1 3 1 +2 6
13 Freiburg 6 1 3 2 -5 6
14 Bielefeld 6 1 1 4 -6 4
15 Hertha 5 1 0 4 -3 3
16 FC Koln 6 0 2 4 -5 2
17 Schalke 04 6 0 2 4 -17 2
18 Mainz 6 0 0 6 -13 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hertha Wolfsburg
1–0 Matheus Cunha
D. Lukébakio
6′
20′
R. Baku 1–1
M. Philipp
Omar Alderete ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
37′
Half-time 1–1
M. Guendouzi 🔁
↦ L. Tousart
57′
65′
🔁 A. Mehmedi
↦ M. Philipp
65′
🔁 João Victor
↦ J. Brekalo
M. Plattenhardt 🔁
↦ M. Mittelstädt
74′
J. Dilrosun 🔁
↦ D. Lukébakio
74′
Marvin Plattenhardt 🟨
76′
K. Piątek 🔁
↦ J. Córdoba
82′
84′
🔁 F. Klaus
↦ J. Roussillon
Peter Pekarík 🟨
86′
Mattéo Guendouzi 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Yannick Gerhardt
93′
🔁 B. Białek
↦ W. Weghorst
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Hertha

4-2-3-1
1 A. Schwolow G
2 P. Pekarík D
20 D. Boyata D
5 N. Stark M
14 O. Alderete D
17 M. Mittelstädt D
6 V. Darida M
29 L. Tousart M
15 J. Córdoba F
11 D. Lukébakio M
10 Matheus Cunha M
Bench (9)
8 M. Guendouzi
21 M. Plattenhardt
16 J. Dilrosun
9 K. Piątek
31 M. Dárdai
23 E. Löwen
27 J. Ngankam
22 R. Jarstein
13 L. Klünter

Coach: B. Labbadia

Wolfsburg

4-2-3-1
1 K. Casteels G
15 J. Roussillon D
25 J. Brooks D
4 M. Lacroix D
17 M. Philipp M
8 R. Steffen M
31 Y. Gerhardt M
24 X. Schlager M
7 J. Brekalo M
20 R. Baku D
9 W. Weghorst F
Bench (9)
14 A. Mehmedi
40 João Victor
11 F. Klaus
21 B. Białek
39 T. Siersleben
10 Y. Mallı
12 P. Pervan
33 D. Ginczek
34 M. Pongracic

Coach: O. Glasner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,64
U ✓
3,47
B
2,62
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,76
U2,5 ✓
2,06
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Petersen · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.