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LaLiga2

Lugo

T S S S U

1–0

Full-time

Vallecano

T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugo Vallecano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,5

1,8

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,8

This season — LaLiga2 · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 50%

44%

56%

Points per game

1,4

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

44%

Both score Ø 33%

44%

22%

Average goals

2,4

2,0

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

8 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 7

0 Corners 12

17 Free kicks against 17

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lugo 9. · Vallecano 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Espanol	9	6	2	1	+10	20
2	Mallorca	10	5	4	1	+7	19
3	Sp Gijon	9	6	1	2	+5	19
4	Leganes	10	6	0	4	+2	18
5	Vallecano	9	5	1	3	+4	16
6	Cartagena	10	4	3	3	+4	15
7	Fuenlabrada	10	3	5	2	-1	14
8	Malaga	9	4	2	3	-4	14
9	Lugo	9	4	1	4	+0	13
10	Mirandes	10	3	4	3	+0	13
11	Las Palmas	10	3	4	3	-1	13
12	Ponferradina	9	4	0	5	-2	12
13	Girona	7	4	0	3	-2	12
14	Almeria	7	3	1	3	+2	10
15	Oviedo	10	2	4	4	-3	10
16	Tenerife	10	2	4	4	-3	10
17	Albacete	10	2	3	5	-5	9
18	Castellon	9	2	2	5	-2	8
19	Logrones	8	2	2	4	-2	8
20	Zaragoza	8	1	4	3	-2	7
21	Sabadell	8	2	1	5	-4	7
22	Alcorcon	7	1	2	4	-3	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leganes	6	5	0	1	+5	15
2	Espanol	5	4	1	0	+8	13
3	Vallecano	4	4	0	0	+8	12
4	Cartagena	5	3	1	1	+5	10
5	Mallorca	5	3	1	1	+4	10
6	Sp Gijon	4	3	1	0	+4	10
7	Las Palmas	5	3	1	1	+3	10
8	Fuenlabrada	5	2	3	0	+3	9
9	Albacete	5	2	2	1	+2	8
10	Tenerife	5	2	2	1	+2	8
11	Malaga	4	2	2	0	+2	8
12	Lugo	4	2	0	2	+1	6
13	Girona	3	2	0	1	+1	6
14	Zaragoza	5	1	3	1	+0	6
15	Mirandes	5	1	3	1	+0	6
16	Ponferradina	5	2	0	3	-2	6
17	Oviedo	5	1	2	2	-2	5
18	Almeria	3	1	1	1	+2	4
19	Logrones	4	1	1	2	-1	4
20	Alcorcon	4	1	1	2	-1	4
21	Castellon	5	1	0	4	-2	3
22	Sabadell	3	1	0	2	-2	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mallorca	5	2	3	0	+3	9
2	Sp Gijon	5	3	0	2	+1	9
3	Espanol	4	2	1	1	+2	7
4	Mirandes	5	2	1	2	+0	7
5	Lugo	5	2	1	2	-1	7
6	Ponferradina	4	2	0	2	+0	6
7	Almeria	4	2	0	2	+0	6
8	Girona	4	2	0	2	-3	6
9	Malaga	5	2	0	3	-6	6
10	Castellon	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Oviedo	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Cartagena	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Fuenlabrada	5	1	2	2	-4	5
14	Logrones	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Sabadell	5	1	1	3	-2	4
16	Vallecano	5	1	1	3	-4	4
17	Leganes	4	1	0	3	-3	3
18	Las Palmas	5	0	3	2	-4	3
19	Tenerife	5	0	2	3	-5	2
20	Zaragoza	3	0	1	2	-2	1
21	Alcorcon	3	0	1	2	-2	1
22	Albacete	5	0	1	4	-7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.