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Ligue 1
Referee: J Stinat
Angers
T S T U S
0–3
Full-time
Nice
T U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers Nice
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,8
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
2,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,3
This season — Ligue 1 · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,6
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
50%
63%
Both score Ø 63%
63%
63%
Average goals
3,3
2,6
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

51% Possession 49%
11 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 12
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Angers 9. · Nice 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 9 7 0 2 +20 21
2 Lille 8 5 3 0 +11 18
3 Rennes 9 5 3 1 +7 18
4 Marseille 8 4 3 1 +3 15
5 Montpellier 9 4 2 3 +1 14
6 Nice 8 4 2 2 +1 14
7 Lyon 8 3 4 1 +6 13
8 Lens 7 4 1 2 +0 13
9 Angers 8 4 1 3 -6 13
10 Bordeaux 8 3 3 2 +4 12
11 Metz 8 3 2 3 +2 11
12 Monaco 8 3 2 3 -2 11
13 St Etienne 9 3 1 5 -4 10
14 Brest 9 3 0 6 -8 9
15 Nantes 8 2 2 4 -4 8
16 Nimes 8 2 2 4 -4 8
17 Lorient 8 2 1 5 -3 7
18 Strasbourg 8 2 0 6 -7 6
19 Reims 8 1 2 5 -3 5
20 Dijon 8 0 2 6 -14 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Angers Nice
12′
Rony Lopes 0–1
Dante
21′
ℹ️ Jeff Reine-Adélaïde
VAR: Goal cancelled
Paul Bernardoni 🟨
22′
23′
P. Lees Melou 0–2
Souleyman Doumbia 🟨
35′
36′
🟨 Robson Bambu
40′
🟨 Rony Lopes
Half-time 0–2
S. Thioub 🔁
↦ J. Cabot
46′
55′
🔁 F. Daniliuc
↦ Dante
66′
🔁 K. Dolberg
↦ J. Reine-Adélaïde
S. Bahoken 🔁
↦ L. Diony
67′
67′
🔁 H. Boudaoui
↦ Rony Lopes
L. Coulibaly 🔁
↦ I. Amadou
76′
Mathias Lage 🔁
↦ S. Boufal
76′
77′
H. Boudaoui 0–3
A. Gouiri
Lassana Coulibaly 🟨
80′
M. Cho 🔁
↦ A. Fulgini
84′
85′
🔁 Y. Atal
↦ J. Lotomba
86′
🔁 K. Thuram-Ulien
↦ A. Gouiri
Romain Thomas 🟨
87′
Thomas Mangani 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Angers

4-2-3-1
1 P. Bernardoni G
24 R. Thomas D
8 I. Traoré D
29 V. Manceau D
3 S. Doumbia D
5 T. Mangani M
18 I. Amadou M
13 S. Boufal M
11 J. Cabot M
10 A. Fulgini M
9 L. Diony F
Bench (9)
22 S. Thioub
19 S. Bahoken
14 L. Coulibaly
27 Mathias Lage
21 M. Cho
23 A. Bobichon
16 L. Butelle
25 A. Bamba
4 M. Pavlović

Coach: S. Moulin

Nice

5-4-1
40 W. Benítez G
4 Dante D
23 J. Lotomba D
3 Robson Bambu D
24 A. Pelmard D
6 M. Schneiderlin M
13 H. Kamara D
8 P. Lees Melou M
29 J. Reine-Adélaïde M
22 Rony Lopes M
11 A. Gouiri F
Bench (9)
5 F. Daniliuc
9 K. Dolberg
28 H. Boudaoui
20 Y. Atal
19 K. Thuram-Ulien
14 D. Ndoye
7 M. Maolida
10 A. Claude Maurice
30 Y. Cardinale

Coach: P. Vieira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,25
U
3,32
B ✓
3,29
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,04
U2,5
1,78
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Stinat · 142 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.