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Eredivisie
Referee: D Higler
Heracles
T U T T U
4–1
Full-time
Utrecht
U S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles Utrecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
0,7
2,0
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,2
This season — Eredivisie · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 29%
17%
40%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
33%
40%
Both score Ø 57%
33%
80%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
0,7
1,4
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

39% Possession 61%
15 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 6
12 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heracles 13. · Utrecht 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 7 6 0 1 +24 18
2 Vitesse 7 6 0 1 +10 18
3 Twente 7 4 2 1 +10 14
4 PSV Eindhoven 6 4 1 1 +7 13
5 Heerenveen 6 4 1 1 +5 13
6 Groningen 7 4 1 2 +1 13
7 Feyenoord 5 3 2 0 +7 11
8 Utrecht 5 2 3 0 +3 9
9 Zwolle 7 1 3 3 -5 6
10 AZ Alkmaar 5 0 5 0 +0 5
11 Waalwijk 6 1 2 3 -5 5
12 Willem II 7 1 2 4 -6 5
13 Heracles 6 1 2 3 -6 5
14 VVV Venlo 7 1 2 4 -14 5
15 Den Haag 6 1 1 4 -6 4
16 FC Emmen 6 0 3 3 -7 3
17 Sparta Rotterdam 5 0 2 3 -7 2
18 For Sittard 7 0 2 5 -11 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heracles Utrecht
1–0 R. Vloet
2′
Adrián Szőke 🟨
26′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 S. van der Water
R. Vloet
46′
46′
🔁 W. Janssen
↦ T. St. Jago
46′
🔁 G. Troupée
↦ M. van der Maarel
46′
🔁 G. Kerk
↦ M. Sylla
57′
🔁 O. Boussaid
↦ E. Elia
Marco Rente 🟨
61′
62′
S. Gustafson 2–1
3–1 R. Vloet
M. Rente
63′
65′
🟨 Bart Ramselaar
4–1 R. Vloet
71′
78′
🔁 J. van Overeem
↦ B. Ramselaar
S. Bakış 🔁
↦ A. Szőke
79′
D. Burgzorg 🔁
↦ L. de la Torre
87′
J. Cijntje 🔁
↦ S. van der Water
91′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Heracles

4-3-3
26 K. Bucker G
2 T. Breukers D
34 J. Hardeveld D
13 M. Knoester D
5 M. Rente D
10 R. Vloet M
15 L. Schoofs M
8 T. Bijleveld M
14 L. de la Torre F
11 S. van der Water F
17 A. Szőke F
Bench (9)
9 S. Bakış
37 D. Burgzorg
7 J. Cijntje
4 R. Pröpper
23 N. Fadiga
21 D. Mesenhöler
31 R. Agca
22 M. Leš
3 G. Quagliata

Coach: F. Wormuth

Utrecht

4-3-3
16 T. Nijhuis G
2 M. van der Maarel D
21 D. Warmerdam D
3 J. Hoogma D
25 T. St. Jago D
6 A. Maher M
22 S. van de Streek M
10 S. Gustafson M
23 B. Ramselaar F
29 M. Sylla F
11 E. Elia F
Bench (12)
14 W. Janssen
20 G. Troupée
7 G. Kerk
26 O. Boussaid
8 J. van Overeem
34 C. Mamengi
5 L. Guwara
32 E. Oelschlägel
15 D. Arzani
1 M. Paes
38 D. van den Berg
28 U. Emanuelson

Coach: J. van den Brom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,32
U
3,71
B
2,05
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,63
U2,5
2,27
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Higler · 133 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.