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Eredivisie
Referee: Jeroen Manschot
0–0
Full-time
Heerenveen
S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Heerenveen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,8
This season — Eredivisie · 10/9 matches
Win Ø 32%
20%
44%
Points per game
0,9
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
50%
78%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
0,8
1,4
Conceded
1,7
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%
8 Shots 8
1 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 7
5 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 15. · Heerenveen 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 10 9 0 1 +23 27
2 Ajax 10 7 1 2 +18 22
3 Zwolle 10 6 3 1 +7 21
4 AZ Alkmaar 10 6 1 3 +3 19
5 Vitesse 9 5 2 2 +10 17
6 Feyenoord 10 5 2 3 +7 17
7 Excelsior 10 4 2 4 -1 14
8 Heerenveen 9 4 2 3 -4 14
9 Den Haag 10 4 1 5 -4 13
10 Heracles 10 3 3 4 -2 12
11 VVV Venlo 10 3 3 4 -4 12
12 Utrecht 8 3 1 4 -7 10
13 Twente 10 3 0 7 -2 9
14 Groningen 10 2 3 5 -4 9
15 Sparta Rotterdam 10 2 3 5 -9 9
16 Willem II 10 3 0 7 -11 9
17 NAC Breda 10 2 2 6 -8 8
18 Roda 10 2 1 7 -12 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sparta Rotterdam Heerenveen
45′
🟨 Nemanja Mihajlović
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 H. Veerman
↦ R. Ghoochannejhad
C. Goodwin 🔁
↦ L. Brogno
59′
60′
🔁 M. Rojas
↦ N. Mihajlović
S. Floranus 🔁
↦ N. Marfelt
70′
Kenneth Dougall 🟨
72′
76′
🟨 Denzel Dumfries
R. Ache 🔁
↦ D. Duarte
83′
83′
🔁 M. Thorsby
↦ M. Vlap
Frederik Holst 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Sparta Rotterdam

4-3-1-2
1 R. Kortsmit G
5 M. Breuer D
6 S. Fischer D
2 F. Holst D
3 N. Marfelt D
8 R. Sanusi M
4 K. Dougall M
10 S. Spierings F
7 D. Duarte M
11 L. Brogno F
9 R. Mühren M
Bench (11)
21 C. Goodwin
13 S. Floranus
19 R. Ache
15 J. Chabot
16 G. Dobson
20 A. Craninx
14 F. Bambock
30 L. Nienhuis
17 I. Alhaft
18 T. Verhaar
12 N. Proschwitz

Coach: A. Pastoor

Heerenveen

4-3-3
1 W. Hahn G
3 D. Høegh D
4 N. Næss D
2 D. Dumfries D
5 K. Pierie D
6 S. Schaars M
21 Y. Kobayashi M
18 M. Vlap M
9 R. Ghoochannejhad F
17 N. Mihajlović F
10 M. Ødegaard F
Bench (9)
20 H. Veerman
7 M. Rojas
8 M. Thorsby
12 D. Schmidt
16 L. Woudenberg
19 P. van Amersfoort
23 W. van der Steen
25 J. Bekkema
26 J. Bruijn

Coach: J. Streppel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jeroen Manschot · 94 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.