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Serie A

Referee: D Orsato

Roma

T U S S U

2–0

Full-time

Fiorentina

S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Fiorentina

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

4,2

4,0

Scored

2,3

2,2

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,3

This season — Serie A · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 40%

40%

Points per game

1,6

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 80%

80%

Both score Ø 70%

60%

80%

Average goals

4,2

4,0

Scored

2,2

2,0

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%

11 Shots 3

7 Shots on target 1

7 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Roma 10. · Fiorentina 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	6	5	1	0	+9	16
2	Napoli	4	4	0	0	+12	12
3	Atalanta	6	4	0	2	+4	12
4	Sassuolo	5	3	2	0	+7	11
5	Inter	6	3	2	1	+5	11
6	Lazio	6	3	1	2	-2	10
7	Juventus	5	2	3	0	+6	9
8	Sampdoria	5	3	0	2	+2	9
9	Verona	5	2	2	1	+3	8
10	Roma	5	2	2	1	+1	8
11	Fiorentina	5	2	1	2	+0	7
12	Cagliari	6	2	1	3	-3	7
13	Bologna	6	2	0	4	-1	6
14	Benevento	5	2	0	3	-5	6
15	Parma	6	1	2	3	-5	5
16	Spezia	6	1	2	3	-7	5
17	Genoa	4	1	1	2	-5	4
18	Udinese	6	1	0	5	-5	3
19	Torino	5	0	1	4	-5	1
20	Crotone	6	0	1	5	-11	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Verona	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+9	6
4	Bologna	3	2	0	1	+3	6
5	Fiorentina	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Sassuolo	3	1	2	0	+3	5
7	Roma	2	1	1	0	+3	4
8	Juventus	2	1	1	0	+3	4
9	Inter	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Parma	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Lazio	3	1	1	1	-2	4
12	Sampdoria	2	1	0	1	+2	3
13	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	+1	3
14	Genoa	2	1	0	1	+1	3
15	Cagliari	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Udinese	4	1	0	3	-3	3
17	Benevento	3	1	0	2	-3	3
18	Crotone	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Spezia	3	0	1	2	-6	1
20	Torino	3	0	0	3	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Atalanta	4	3	0	1	+3	9
3	Inter	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Sassuolo	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Lazio	3	2	0	1	+0	6
7	Sampdoria	3	2	0	1	+0	6
8	Juventus	3	1	2	0	+3	5
9	Spezia	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Roma	3	1	1	1	-2	4
11	Cagliari	4	1	1	2	-3	4
12	Benevento	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Fiorentina	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Torino	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Verona	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Parma	3	0	1	2	-4	1
17	Genoa	2	0	1	1	-6	1
18	Udinese	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Bologna	3	0	0	3	-4	0
20	Crotone	3	0	0	3	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.