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Eredivisie

Referee: D Makkelie

Sparta Rotterdam

S T T T T

4–4

Full-time

AZ Alkmaar

S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam AZ Alkmaar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,3

3,0

Scored

1,2

2,0

Conceded

2,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,0

This season — Eredivisie · 3/2 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,3

4,0

Scored

0,0

2,0

Conceded

2,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

-2,3

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–4

46% Possession 54%

17 Shots 15

7 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 6

4 Offside 3

17 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 18. · AZ Alkmaar 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heerenveen	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Vitesse	4	3	0	1	+5	9
3	Ajax	4	3	0	1	+4	9
4	Twente	4	2	2	0	+4	8
5	Feyenoord	3	2	1	0	+4	7
6	PSV Eindhoven	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	Groningen	4	2	0	2	-2	6
8	Utrecht	3	1	2	0	+2	5
9	Zwolle	3	1	1	1	+2	4
10	Willem II	3	1	1	1	+2	4
11	VVV Venlo	4	1	1	2	+0	4
12	Heracles	4	1	1	2	-5	4
13	Den Haag	4	1	0	3	-4	3
14	AZ Alkmaar	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	FC Emmen	4	0	2	2	-3	2
16	For Sittard	3	0	1	2	-4	1
17	Waalwijk	3	0	0	3	-6	0
18	Sparta Rotterdam	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Twente	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Vitesse	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Ajax	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Heerenveen	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Feyenoord	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Utrecht	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Heracles	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Willem II	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Zwolle	2	1	0	1	+2	3
10	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Groningen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	VVV Venlo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	FC Emmen	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	For Sittard	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Heerenveen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	VVV Venlo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
5	Vitesse	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	Ajax	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Groningen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
8	Den Haag	3	1	0	2	-3	3
9	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Utrecht	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Twente	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Zwolle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	FC Emmen	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Willem II	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Waalwijk	2	0	0	2	-5	0
17	Sparta Rotterdam	2	0	0	2	-6	0
18	Heracles	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.