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Ligue 1

Referee: A Delerue

Nimes

U U S T T

0–1

Full-time

Metz

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nimes Metz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 32%

25%

38%

Points per game

1,0

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

50%

25%

Both score Ø 44%

38%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,0

Scored

1,1

Conceded

1,6

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

66% Possession 34%

16 Shots 8

2 Shots on target 5

6 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

10 Corners 1

1 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Nimes 16. · Metz 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	9	7	0	2	+20	21
2	Lille	8	5	3	0	+11	18
3	Rennes	9	5	3	1	+7	18
4	Marseille	8	4	3	1	+3	15
5	Montpellier	9	4	2	3	+1	14
6	Nice	8	4	2	2	+1	14
7	Lyon	8	3	4	1	+6	13
8	Lens	7	4	1	2	+0	13
9	Angers	8	4	1	3	-6	13
10	Bordeaux	8	3	3	2	+4	12
11	Metz	8	3	2	3	+2	11
12	Monaco	8	3	2	3	-2	11
13	St Etienne	9	3	1	5	-4	10
14	Brest	9	3	0	6	-8	9
15	Nantes	8	2	2	4	-4	8
16	Nimes	8	2	2	4	-4	8
17	Lorient	8	2	1	5	-3	7
18	Strasbourg	8	2	0	6	-7	6
19	Reims	8	1	2	5	-3	5
20	Dijon	8	0	2	6	-14	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	4	3	1	0	+7	10
2	Rennes	5	3	1	1	+2	10
3	Paris SG	4	3	0	1	+9	9
4	Bordeaux	5	2	3	0	+5	9
5	Metz	4	3	0	1	+4	9
6	Lens	3	3	0	0	+4	9
7	Montpellier	5	3	0	2	+1	9
8	Lyon	4	2	2	0	+6	8
9	Monaco	4	2	2	0	+2	8
10	Nantes	4	2	1	1	+0	7
11	Angers	4	2	1	1	+0	7
12	Nice	4	2	1	1	-1	7
13	Brest	4	2	0	2	-2	6
14	St Etienne	5	2	0	3	-2	6
15	Marseille	4	1	2	1	+0	5
16	Lorient	4	1	1	2	+0	4
17	Nimes	4	1	1	2	-2	4
18	Strasbourg	4	1	0	3	-5	3
19	Dijon	4	0	2	2	-3	2
20	Reims	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	4	0	1	+11	12
2	Marseille	4	3	1	0	+3	10
3	Rennes	4	2	2	0	+5	8
4	Lille	4	2	2	0	+4	8
5	Nice	4	2	1	1	+2	7
6	Angers	4	2	0	2	-6	6
7	Reims	5	1	2	2	+2	5
8	Montpellier	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Lyon	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	St Etienne	4	1	1	2	-2	4
11	Nimes	4	1	1	2	-2	4
12	Lens	4	1	1	2	-4	4
13	Bordeaux	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Strasbourg	4	1	0	3	-2	3
15	Lorient	4	1	0	3	-3	3
16	Monaco	4	1	0	3	-4	3
17	Brest	5	1	0	4	-6	3
18	Metz	4	0	2	2	-2	2
19	Nantes	4	0	1	3	-4	1
20	Dijon	4	0	0	4	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.