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Bundesliga

Referee: B Cortus

Freiburg

S U T U U

2–4

Full-time

Leverkusen

U U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Freiburg Leverkusen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,2

1,7

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,5

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,7

This season — Bundesliga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 30%

20%

40%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 30%

40%

20%

Both score Ø 70%

80%

60%

Average goals

3,0

1,8

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,8

0,6

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

40% Possession 60%

8 Shots 18

5 Shots on target 7

0 Blocked shots 7

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 6

3 Offside 4

10 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Freiburg 13. · Leverkusen 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	6	5	0	1	+15	15
2	Dortmund	6	5	0	1	+11	15
3	RB Leipzig	6	4	1	1	+8	13
4	M'gladbach	6	3	2	1	+1	11
5	Augsburg	6	3	1	2	+2	10
6	Stuttgart	6	2	3	1	+4	9
7	Leverkusen	5	2	3	0	+3	9
8	Werder Bremen	6	2	3	1	+0	9
9	Ein Frankfurt	6	2	3	1	-2	9
10	Hoffenheim	5	2	1	2	+2	7
11	Wolfsburg	5	1	4	0	+1	7
12	Union Berlin	5	1	3	1	+2	6
13	Freiburg	5	1	3	1	-3	6
14	Bielefeld	6	1	1	4	-6	4
15	Hertha	5	1	0	4	-3	3
16	FC Koln	6	0	2	4	-5	2
17	Schalke 04	6	0	2	4	-17	2
18	Mainz	6	0	0	6	-13	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	3	3	0	0	+14	9
2	Dortmund	3	3	0	0	+10	9
3	RB Leipzig	3	3	0	0	+7	9
4	Augsburg	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Ein Frankfurt	3	1	2	0	+1	5
6	M'gladbach	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Wolfsburg	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Union Berlin	3	1	1	1	+2	4
9	Leverkusen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
10	Werder Bremen	3	1	1	1	-2	4
11	Hoffenheim	2	1	0	1	+2	3
12	Bielefeld	3	1	0	2	-4	3
13	Freiburg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Stuttgart	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Schalke 04	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	FC Koln	4	0	1	3	-4	1
17	Hertha	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Mainz	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stuttgart	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Bayern Munich	3	2	0	1	+1	6
3	Dortmund	3	2	0	1	+1	6
4	M'gladbach	3	2	0	1	+0	6
5	Werder Bremen	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Leverkusen	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	RB Leipzig	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	Hoffenheim	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Augsburg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Ein Frankfurt	3	1	1	1	-3	4
11	Freiburg	3	1	1	1	-3	4
12	Hertha	3	1	0	2	+1	3
13	Wolfsburg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Union Berlin	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	FC Koln	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Bielefeld	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Mainz	3	0	0	3	-8	0
18	Schalke 04	3	0	0	3	-15	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.