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Super League
Referee: A Koutsiaftis
AEK
S S T U S
2–1
Full-time
OFI Crete
S U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK OFI Crete
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
This season — Super League · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 39%
60%
17%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
20%
67%
Both score Ø 44%
20%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
1,4
1,2
Conceded
0,4
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

58% Possession 42%
13 Shots 6
8 Shots on target 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 0
4 Offside 0
20 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AEK 6. · OFI Crete 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aris Thessalonikis 6 5 1 0 +6 16
2 Aris 6 5 1 0 +6 16
3 Olympiakos 5 4 1 0 +11 13
4 PAOK 6 3 3 0 +6 12
5 Volos NFC 8 3 3 2 +2 12
6 AEK 5 3 1 1 +5 10
7 Asteras Tripolis 7 3 1 3 -1 10
8 Giannina 7 2 3 2 +1 9
9 Atromitos 7 2 2 3 -5 8
10 Panathinaikos 7 1 3 3 -1 6
11 OFI Crete 6 1 3 2 -3 6
12 Apollon 5 1 0 4 -4 3
13 Panetolikos 7 0 3 4 -8 3
14 Larisa 5 0 2 3 -4 2
15 Lamia 7 0 1 6 -11 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AEK OFI Crete
6′
Sturgeon 0–1
1–1 I. Nedelcearu
P. Mandalos
32′
Half-time 1–1
M. Livaja 🔁
↦ T. Macheras
56′
62′
🔁 J. de Guzmán
↦ K. Balogiannis
Nélson Oliveira 🔁
↦ K. Ansarifard
67′
2–1 Y. Shakhov
P. Mandalos
74′
Emanuel Insúa 🔁
↦ Hélder Lopes
80′
E. Svarnas 🔁
↦ M. Tankovic
81′
83′
🔁 A. Gargalatzidis
↦ A. Giannou
Nenad Krstičić 🟨
84′
87′
🔁 V. Nikokyrakis
↦ Sturgeon
88′
🔁 P. Staikos
↦ V. Sakor
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

AEK

4-2-3-1
1 P. Tsintotas G
27 Paulinho D
3 Hélder Lopes D
5 I. Nedelcearu D
26 N. Hnid D
6 N. Krstičić M
28 Y. Shakhov M
20 P. Mandalos M
53 T. Macheras F
11 K. Ansarifard F
17 M. Tankovic M
Bench (9)
10 M. Livaja
18 Nélson Oliveira
22 Emanuel Insúa
24 E. Svarnas
30 G. Athanasiadis
44 A. Šabanadžović
2 M. Bakakis
25 K. Galanopoulos
15 Ž. Laci

Coach: M. Carrera

OFI Crete

5-4-1
24 B. Waterman G
13 N. Vafeas D
15 A. Diamantis D
2 A. Oues
3 O. Lymperakis D
4 V. Sakor M
7 Sturgeon M
34 N. Korovesis D
29 M. Mellado M
16 K. Balogiannis M
20 A. Giannou F
Bench (9)
33 J. de Guzmán
23 A. Gargalatzidis
17 V. Nikokyrakis
26 P. Staikos
38 T. Mingos
6 N. Marinakis
28 F. Grivas
32 D. Sotiriou
49 G. Sournakis

Coach: G. Simos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,38
U
4,63
B
7,26
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,74
U2,5
2,05
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Koutsiaftis · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
31,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.