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Eredivisie

Referee: Edwin Van de Graaf

Heerenveen

S U T T T

3–0

Full-time

Sparta Rotterdam

S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen Sparta Rotterdam

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,5

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

2,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,5

This season — Eredivisie · 26/28 matches

Win Ø 32%

38%

25%

Points per game

1,4

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

73%

54%

Both score Ø 61%

65%

57%

Average goals

3,1

3,0

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,4

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,5

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%

15 Shots 9

8 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 9

2 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heerenveen 8. · Sparta Rotterdam 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	28	22	3	3	+50	69
2	Ajax	28	20	6	2	+40	66
3	PSV Eindhoven	28	19	7	2	+36	64
4	Utrecht	26	13	7	6	+12	46
5	Vitesse	28	12	6	10	+9	42
6	Twente	28	11	8	9	+2	41
7	AZ Alkmaar	25	9	11	5	+8	38
8	Heerenveen	26	10	6	10	+7	36
9	Heracles	28	9	7	12	-6	34
10	Willem II	28	8	9	11	-7	33
11	Zwolle	28	8	7	13	-20	31
12	Sparta Rotterdam	28	7	7	14	-15	28
13	Nijmegen	28	7	7	14	-20	28
14	Groningen	26	5	11	10	-6	26
15	Excelsior	29	5	10	14	-20	25
16	Den Haag	28	7	4	17	-24	25
17	Go Ahead Eagles	28	6	5	17	-21	23
18	Roda	28	4	11	13	-25	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	14	12	2	0	+33	38
2	Ajax	14	11	2	1	+25	35
3	PSV Eindhoven	14	10	3	1	+17	33
4	Heracles	14	7	3	4	+9	24
5	Twente	14	7	3	4	+5	24
6	Vitesse	14	7	2	5	+7	23
7	Heerenveen	13	6	4	3	+8	22
8	Utrecht	12	6	3	3	+6	21
9	AZ Alkmaar	13	4	7	2	+6	19
10	Sparta Rotterdam	14	5	4	5	+1	19
11	Nijmegen	14	5	4	5	-1	19
12	Excelsior	15	4	5	6	-2	17
13	Den Haag	14	5	2	7	-3	17
14	Willem II	14	4	5	5	-4	17
15	Zwolle	14	4	4	6	-9	16
16	Roda	14	3	5	6	-5	14
17	Groningen	13	2	7	4	-7	13
18	Go Ahead Eagles	14	4	1	9	-9	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	14	9	4	1	+19	31
2	Feyenoord	14	10	1	3	+17	31
3	Ajax	14	9	4	1	+15	31
4	Utrecht	14	7	4	3	+6	25
5	Vitesse	14	5	4	5	+2	19
6	AZ Alkmaar	12	5	4	3	+2	19
7	Twente	14	4	5	5	-3	17
8	Willem II	14	4	4	6	-3	16
9	Zwolle	14	4	3	7	-11	15
10	Heerenveen	13	4	2	7	-1	14
11	Groningen	13	3	4	6	+1	13
12	Go Ahead Eagles	14	2	4	8	-12	10
13	Heracles	14	2	4	8	-15	10
14	Sparta Rotterdam	14	2	3	9	-16	9
15	Nijmegen	14	2	3	9	-19	9
16	Roda	14	1	6	7	-20	9
17	Excelsior	14	1	5	8	-18	8
18	Den Haag	14	2	2	10	-21	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.