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Eredivisie
Referee: S Gözübüyük
1–1
Full-time
Heracles
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Heracles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
4,5
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
2,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 4/5 matches
Win Ø 10%
0%
20%
Points per game
0,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
50%
40%
Both score Ø 23%
25%
20%
Average goals
3,8
2,4
Scored
1,0
0,6
Conceded
2,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,8
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

38% Possession 62%
10 Shots 19
5 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 9
3 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 18. · Heracles 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 6 5 0 1 +21 15
2 PSV Eindhoven 5 4 1 0 +8 13
3 Heerenveen 6 4 1 1 +5 13
4 Vitesse 5 4 0 1 +7 12
5 Twente 6 3 2 1 +6 11
6 Feyenoord 4 3 1 0 +7 10
7 Groningen 6 3 1 2 +0 10
8 Utrecht 5 2 3 0 +3 9
9 Zwolle 6 1 3 2 -1 6
10 Willem II 6 1 2 3 -4 5
11 VVV Venlo 6 1 2 3 -13 5
12 AZ Alkmaar 4 0 4 0 +0 4
13 Waalwijk 5 1 1 3 -5 4
14 Heracles 5 1 1 3 -6 4
15 Den Haag 5 1 0 4 -6 3
16 FC Emmen 6 0 3 3 -7 3
17 For Sittard 6 0 2 4 -8 2
18 Sparta Rotterdam 4 0 1 3 -7 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sparta Rotterdam Heracles
Jeffrey Fortes 🟨
20′
32′
🟨 Marco Rente
Half-time 1–0
1–0 A. Harroui
47′
49′
🟨 Orestis Kiomourtzoglou
Adil Auassar 🟥
54′
59′
🔁 T. Bijleveld
↦ L. Schoofs
S. Mijnans 🔁
↦ M. Engels
64′
69′
🟨 Rai Vloet
74′
🔁 K. Jakobsen
↦ S. van der Water
74′
🔁 D. Burgzorg
↦ O. Kiomourtzoglou
75′
R. Vloet 1–1
K. Jakobsen
Deroy Duarte 🟨
78′
A. Meijers 🔁
↦ D. Duarte
81′
E. Emegha 🔁
↦ L. Thy
81′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sparta Rotterdam

5-3-2
1 B. van Leer G
2 Jeffry Fortes D
3 B. Vriends D
4 T. Beugelsdijk D
5 M. Pinto D
6 M. Heylen D
8 A. Auassar M
10 D. Duarte M
7 A. Harroui M
9 L. Thy F
11 M. Engels F
Bench (10)
16 S. Mijnans
15 A. Meijers
18 E. Emegha
13 D. Vianello
19 D. Gravenberch
14 L. Duarte
30 M. Fabrie
20 M. Okoye
17 W. Burger
12 D. Abels

Coach: H. Fraser

Heracles

4-3-3
16 M. Brouwer G
2 T. Breukers D
34 J. Hardeveld D
13 M. Knoester D
5 M. Rente D
10 R. Vloet M
15 L. Schoofs M
6 O. Kiomourtzoglou M
14 L. de la Torre F
9 S. Bakış F
11 S. van der Water F
Bench (10)
8 T. Bijleveld
20 K. Jakobsen
37 D. Burgzorg
17 A. Szőke
21 D. Mesenhöler
22 M. Leš
31 R. Agca
26 K. Bucker
24 E. Oubella
3 G. Quagliata

Coach: F. Wormuth

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,08
U ✓
3,61
B
3,29
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,69
U2,5 ✓
2,16
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Gözübüyük · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.