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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: S Sinnes
Lillestrom
S S U S T
3–0
Full-time
Tromso
S U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Tromso
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,8
5,0
Scored
2,7
3,2
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,3
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 22/23 matches
Win Ø 60%
55%
65%
Points per game
1,9
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
50%
48%
Both score Ø 49%
50%
48%
Average goals
2,8
3,1
Scored
1,8
2,1
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lillestrom 2. · Tromso 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Tromso 23 15 4 4 +26 49
2 Lillestrom 22 12 6 4 +17 42
3 Sogndal 23 12 5 6 +17 41
4 Ranheim 21 11 3 7 +20 36
5 Asane 21 10 6 5 +15 36
6 KFUM Oslo 23 8 7 8 -1 31
7 Jerv 22 8 7 7 -6 31
8 Stjørdals-Blink 23 8 6 9 +0 30
9 Strommen 24 8 6 10 -5 30
10 Sandnes ULF 23 8 6 9 -11 30
11 Raufoss 22 7 7 8 +1 28
12 Ham-Kam 23 7 5 11 -8 26
13 Ull/Kisa 23 7 5 11 -15 26
14 Grorud 23 6 6 11 -9 24
15 Kongsvinger 23 4 7 12 -17 19
16 Øygarden 23 4 6 13 -24 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Tromso
1–0 F. Krogstad
8′
13′
🟨 L. Saetra
2–0 F. Krogstad
14′
E. B. Garnas 🟨
43′
Half-time 2–0
K. Kairinen 🟨
47′
3–0 T. Haraldsson
48′
60′
🔁 M. Ingebrigtsen
↦ F. Azemi
61′
🔁 M. Ahamed
↦ E. Kitolano
67′
🔁 T. Hafstad
↦ A. Mikkelsen
B. Sigurðarson 🔁
↦ T. Olsen
68′
72′
🔁 J. Robertsen
↦ S. Pedersen
72′
🔁 A. Jenssen
↦ S. Wangberg
T. Svendsen 🔁
↦ T. Haraldsson
80′
U. Mathisen 🔁
↦ K. Kairinen
81′
L. Ranger 🔁
↦ D. Gustafsson
87′
S. Rafn 🟨
88′
M. Knudsen 🔁
↦ F. Krogstad
88′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Lillestrom

12 M. Christiansen
5 S. Rafn
4 E. Garnås
22 P. Slørdahl
33 A. Melgalvis
6 K. Kairinen
14 F. Krogstad
8 I. Mathew
9 T. Haraldsson
90 D. Gustafsson
10 T. Olsen
Bench (8)
16 B. Sigurðarson
11 T. Svendsen
18 U. Mathisen
26 L. Ranger
21 M. Knudsen
3 S. Mikalsen
20 J. Brunes
25 J. Coppens

Coach: G. Bakke

Tromso

1 J. Karlstrøm
22 S. Wangberg
39 L. Sætra
29 E. Sivertsen
26 S. Pedersen
4 J. Gundersen
6 L. Johnsen
21 E. Kitolano
18 S. Opsahl
14 A. Mikkelsen
7 F. Azemi
Bench (6)
10 M. Ingebrigtsen
19 M. Ahamed
24 T. Hafstad
3 J. Robertsen
5 A. Jenssen
12 E. Jacobsen

Coach: G. Helstrup

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Sinnes · 93 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.