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Serie A
Referee: D Chiffi
Torino
U T T T U
3–4
Full-time
Lazio
S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Lazio
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,2
3,2
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
2,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,8
This season — Serie A · 4/5 matches
Win Ø 20%
0%
40%
Points per game
0,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
75%
60%
Both score Ø 68%
75%
60%
Average goals
4,5
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
2,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

45% Possession 55%
8 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 1
2 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Torino 19. · Lazio 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Milan 6 5 1 0 +9 16
2 Napoli 4 4 0 0 +12 12
3 Atalanta 6 4 0 2 +4 12
4 Sassuolo 5 3 2 0 +7 11
5 Inter 6 3 2 1 +5 11
6 Sampdoria 5 3 0 2 +2 9
7 Verona 5 2 2 1 +3 8
8 Roma 5 2 2 1 +1 8
9 Fiorentina 5 2 1 2 +0 7
10 Cagliari 6 2 1 3 -3 7
11 Lazio 5 2 1 2 -3 7
12 Juventus 4 1 3 0 +3 6
13 Bologna 6 2 0 4 -1 6
14 Benevento 5 2 0 3 -5 6
15 Spezia 5 1 2 2 -4 5
16 Parma 6 1 2 3 -5 5
17 Genoa 4 1 1 2 -5 4
18 Udinese 6 1 0 5 -5 3
19 Torino 4 0 1 3 -4 1
20 Crotone 6 0 1 5 -11 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Torino Lazio
15′
Andreas Pereira 0–1
Patric
1–1 Bremer
S. Verdi
19′
2–1 A. Belotti
25′
44′
🟨 Andreas Pereira
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 J. Akpa Akpro
↦ Andreas Pereira
46′
🔁 Lucas Leiva
↦ M. Parolo
48′
S. Milinković-Savić 2–2
56′
🔁 C. Immobile
↦ V. Muriqi
W. Singo 🔁
↦ M. Vojvoda
70′
N. N'Koulou 🔁
↦ S. Verdi
71′
73′
🔁 F. Caicedo
↦ J. Correa
F. Bonazzoli 🔁
↦ A. Belotti
77′
81′
🔁 D. Cataldi
↦ M. Fares
85′
🟨 Wesley Hoedt
3–2 S. Lukić
87′
88′
🟨 Ciro Immobile
Tomás Rincón 🟨
90′
Nicolas N'Koulou 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Felipe Caicedo
90′
ℹ️ Ciro Immobile
VAR: Goal cancelled
95′
C. Immobile 3–3
98′
F. Caicedo 3–4
Full-time 3–4

Line-ups

Torino

4-3-1-2
39 S. Sirigu G
13 R. Rodríguez D
27 M. Vojvoda D
4 Lyanco D
3 Bremer D
88 T. Rincón M
23 S. Meïté M
77 K. Linetty M
7 S. Lukić M
24 S. Verdi F
9 A. Belotti F
Bench (12)
17 W. Singo
33 N. N'Koulou
26 F. Bonazzoli
15 C. Ansaldi
20 S. Edera
73 S. Vianni
10 A. Gojak
25 A. Rosati
6 J. Segre
99 A. Buongiorno
32 V. Savić
29 N. Murru

Coach: M. Giampaolo

Lazio

3-5-2
25 Pepe Reina G
33 F. Acerbi D
4 Patric M
14 W. Hoedt D
3 Luiz Felipe D
16 M. Parolo M
11 J. Correa F
7 Andreas Pereira M
21 S. Milinković-Savić M
96 M. Fares M
94 V. Muriqi F
Bench (12)
92 J. Akpa Akpro
6 Lucas Leiva
17 C. Immobile
20 F. Caicedo
32 D. Cataldi
1 T. Strakosha
13 N. Armini
73 M. Novella
53 S. Czyż
54 D. Franco
71 M. Alia
72 A. Ndrecka

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,52
U
3,60
B ✓
2,66
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,63
U2,5
2,27
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Chiffi · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.