OBOS-ligaen
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Ham-Kam
Asane
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Tromso
|
23 | 15 | 4 | 4 | +26 | 49 |
| 2 |
Lillestrom
|
22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | +17 | 42 |
| 3 |
Sogndal
|
23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | +17 | 41 |
| 4 |
Ranheim
|
21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | +20 | 36 |
| 5 |
Asane
|
21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | +15 | 36 |
| 6 |
KFUM Oslo
|
23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 31 |
| 7 |
Jerv
|
22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | -6 | 31 |
| 8 |
Stjørdals-Blink
|
23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | +0 | 30 |
| 9 |
Strommen
|
24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | -5 | 30 |
| 10 |
Sandnes ULF
|
23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | -11 | 30 |
| 11 |
Raufoss
|
22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | +1 | 28 |
| 12 |
Ham-Kam
|
23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | -8 | 26 |
| 13 |
Ull/Kisa
|
23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | -15 | 26 |
| 14 |
Grorud
|
23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | -9 | 24 |
| 15 |
Kongsvinger
|
23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -17 | 19 |
| 16 |
Øygarden
|
23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | -24 | 18 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
A. Nouri
M. Solbakken
V. Skjærvik
K. Eriksen
Coach: K. Rekdal
S. Kvile
D. Wolfe
H. Lorentzen
Coach: M. Røssland
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Tromso
Ham-Kam
Ham-Kam
Sogndal
Grorud
Ham-Kam
Ham-Kam
Sandnes ULF
Ham-Kam
Jerv
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.