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Eredivisie
Referee: K Blom
Heerenveen
U S T S S
1–0
Full-time
VVV Venlo
S U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen VVV Venlo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
4,2
2,5
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,0
5,0
Scored
2,5
3,0
Conceded
0,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%
16 Shots 13
8 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
8 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 2
The table before the match Heerenveen 2. · VVV Venlo 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Twente 3 2 1 0 +4 7
2 Heerenveen 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Ajax 2 2 0 0 +4 6
4 PSV Eindhoven 2 2 0 0 +3 6
5 Vitesse 2 2 0 0 +3 6
6 VVV Venlo 2 1 1 0 +2 4
7 Zwolle 3 1 1 1 +2 4
8 Feyenoord 2 1 1 0 +2 4
9 Willem II 2 1 0 1 +2 3
10 Heracles 2 1 0 1 -2 3
11 Groningen 3 1 0 2 -3 3
12 AZ Alkmaar 2 0 2 0 +0 2
13 Utrecht 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 For Sittard 3 0 1 2 -4 1
15 FC Emmen 2 0 0 2 -3 0
16 Den Haag 2 0 0 2 -3 0
17 Waalwijk 2 0 0 2 -4 0
18 Sparta Rotterdam 3 0 0 3 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heerenveen VVV Venlo
1–0 J. Veerman
32′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 S. Janssen
↦ D. Post
Sherel Floranus 🟨
57′
62′
🟨 Vito van Crooy
63′
🟥 Tobias Pachonik
R. Hajal 🔁
↦ O. Meier
68′
68′
🔁 J. Arias
↦ J. John
68′
🔁 S. van Dijck
↦ G. Hupperts
79′
🟥 Simon Janssen
I. Dresevic 🔁
↦ J. Veerman
82′
C. Driouech 🔁
↦ A. van der Heide
82′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Heerenveen

4-3-3
1 E. Mulder G
5 L. Woudenberg D
25 P. Bochniewicz D
2 S. Floranus D
3 J. van Hecke D
21 R. Kongolo M
20 J. Veerman M
10 O. Meier M
9 H. Veerman F
11 M. van Bergen F
16 A. van der Heide F
Bench (7)
17 R. Hajal
14 I. Dresevic
37 C. Driouech
15 S. Dewaele
24 J. Kroesen
18 H. Akujobi
26 R. Smit

Coach: J. Jansen

VVV Venlo

4-3-3
1 T. Kirschbaum G
14 C. Kum D
2 T. Pachonik D
4 R. Gelmi D
17 T. Dekker D
6 D. Post M
21 E. Linthorst M
12 J. John F
7 G. Hupperts F
11 G. Giakoumakis F
10 V. van Crooij M
Bench (10)
15 S. Janssen
25 J. Arias
18 S. van Dijck
22 B. Verbong
19 Y. Roemer
23 N. S'rifi
16 D. van Crooij
20 A. Bastiaans
5 S. Schäfer
24 W. Essanoussi

Coach: H. de Koning

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,60
U
4,20
B
5,03
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,57
U2,5 ✓
2,38
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Blom · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.