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Super League

Referee: V Fotias

Aris Thessalonikis

S S U S S

1–0

Full-time

Asteras Tripolis

T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Thessalonikis Asteras Tripolis

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,8

2,0

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,0

This season — Super League · 5/6 matches

Win Ø 65%

80%

50%

Points per game

2,6

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 37%

40%

33%

Both score Ø 37%

40%

33%

Average goals

2,2

2,0

Scored

1,6

1,0

Conceded

0,6

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%

9 Shots 4

6 Shots on target 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 3

17 Free kicks against 19

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aris Thessalonikis 3. · Asteras Tripolis 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Aris	6	5	1	0	+6	16
2	Olympiakos	5	4	1	0	+11	13
3	Aris Thessalonikis	5	4	1	0	+5	13
4	Volos NFC	8	3	3	2	+2	12
5	AEK	5	3	1	1	+5	10
6	Asteras Tripolis	6	3	1	2	+0	10
7	PAOK	5	2	3	0	+4	9
8	Giannina	7	2	3	2	+1	9
9	Atromitos	7	2	2	3	-5	8
10	Panathinaikos	7	1	3	3	-1	6
11	OFI Crete	6	1	3	2	-3	6
12	Apollon	5	1	0	4	-4	3
13	Panetolikos	6	0	3	3	-6	3
14	Larisa	5	0	2	3	-4	2
15	Lamia	7	0	1	6	-11	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Aris	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	PAOK	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Aris Thessalonikis	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Asteras Tripolis	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Atromitos	4	2	0	2	-1	6
7	Volos NFC	5	1	2	2	-1	5
8	AEK	2	1	1	0	+3	4
9	OFI Crete	3	0	3	0	+0	3
10	Apollon	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Giannina	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Larisa	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	Panetolikos	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Panathinaikos	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Lamia	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Giannina	5	2	2	1	+2	8
2	Volos NFC	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	AEK	3	2	0	1	+2	6
4	Aris Thessalonikis	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Aris	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Panathinaikos	4	1	2	1	+1	5
7	Asteras Tripolis	4	1	1	2	-2	4
8	OFI Crete	3	1	0	2	-3	3
9	PAOK	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Atromitos	3	0	2	1	-4	2
11	Panetolikos	4	0	2	2	-4	2
12	Olympiakos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Larisa	3	0	1	2	-2	1
14	Apollon	3	0	0	3	-4	0
15	Lamia	3	0	0	3	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.