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Eredivisie
Referee: J Kamphuis
Sparta Rotterdam
S T S S T
0–1
Full-time
Ajax
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Ajax
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
4,0
2,3
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%
14 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 1
0 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Jan -20 Ajax – Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 1. Sep -19 Sparta Rotterdam – Ajax 1–4 18. Mar -18 Sparta Rotterdam – Ajax 2–5 14. Oct -17 Ajax – Sparta Rotterdam 4–0 12. Feb -17 Ajax – Sparta Rotterdam 2–0

Match report

Sparta Rotterdam Ajax
17′
🟨 Ryan Gravenberch
27′
🟥 Nicolás Tagliafico
28′
🟨 Daley Blind
33′
🔁 S. Dest
↦ Z. Labyad
37′
⚽ Antony 0–1
D. Tadić
Half-time 0–1
D. Gravenberch 🔁
↦ L. Thy
46′
E. Emegha 🔁
↦ D. Duarte
46′
Michael Heylen 🟨
54′
Mica Pinto 🟨
57′
L. Duarte 🔁
↦ B. Smeets
66′
75′
🔁 David Neres
↦ Antony
D. Abels 🔁
↦ A. Harroui
78′
T. Beugelsdijk 🔁
↦ Mica Pinto
83′
84′
🔁 L. Traoré
↦ Q. Promes
84′
🔁 J. Timber
↦ N. Mazraoui
86′
🟨 André Onana
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Sparta Rotterdam

4-3-1-2
1 B. van Leer G
2 Jeffry Fortes D
3 B. Vriends D
5 Mica Pinto D
4 M. Heylen D
6 A. Auassar M
10 B. Smeets M
8 D. Duarte M
7 A. Harroui M
9 L. Thy F
11 M. Rayhi F
Bench (11)
19 D. Gravenberch
21 E. Emegha
16 L. Duarte
12 D. Abels
14 T. Beugelsdijk
17 B. Martis
18 S. Mijnans
20 M. Okoye
13 Lorenzo Fonseca
30 M. Fabrie
15 L. Faye

Coach: H. Fraser

Ajax

4-3-3
24 A. Onana G
17 D. Blind D
31 N. Tagliafico D
12 N. Mazraoui D
3 P. Schuurs D
4 E. Álvarez M
19 Z. Labyad F
8 R. Gravenberch M
10 D. Tadić F
11 Q. Promes M
39 Antony F
Bench (12)
28 S. Dest
7 David Neres
23 L. Traoré
2 J. Timber
20 M. Kudus
15 D. Rensch
18 J. Ekkelenkamp
1 M. Stekelenburg
16 K. Scherpen
27 N. Lang
22 C. Eiting
9 K. Huntelaar

Coach: E. ten Hag

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
9,51
🔒
U
6,39
🔒
B ✓
1,25
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
1,30
🔒
U2,5 ✓
3,47
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Kamphuis · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.