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Serie A

Referee: M Di Bello

Udinese

T T T S T

1–2

Full-time

Milan

S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Milan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,0

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

1,0

2,5

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,8

This season — Serie A · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 50%

20%

80%

Points per game

0,6

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

40%

60%

Both score Ø 40%

40%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

1,0

2,4

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+1,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

40% Possession 60%

7 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 4

2 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Udinese 18. · Milan 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	5	4	1	0	+8	13
2	Napoli	4	4	0	0	+12	12
3	Atalanta	6	4	0	2	+4	12
4	Sassuolo	5	3	2	0	+7	11
5	Inter	6	3	2	1	+5	11
6	Sampdoria	5	3	0	2	+2	9
7	Verona	5	2	2	1	+3	8
8	Roma	5	2	2	1	+1	8
9	Fiorentina	5	2	1	2	+0	7
10	Cagliari	6	2	1	3	-3	7
11	Lazio	5	2	1	2	-3	7
12	Juventus	4	1	3	0	+3	6
13	Bologna	6	2	0	4	-1	6
14	Benevento	5	2	0	3	-5	6
15	Spezia	5	1	2	2	-4	5
16	Parma	6	1	2	3	-5	5
17	Genoa	4	1	1	2	-5	4
18	Udinese	5	1	0	4	-4	3
19	Torino	4	0	1	3	-4	1
20	Crotone	6	0	1	5	-11	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Verona	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+9	6
4	Bologna	3	2	0	1	+3	6
5	Fiorentina	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Sassuolo	3	1	2	0	+3	5
7	Roma	2	1	1	0	+3	4
8	Juventus	2	1	1	0	+3	4
9	Inter	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Parma	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Lazio	3	1	1	1	-2	4
12	Sampdoria	2	1	0	1	+2	3
13	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	+1	3
14	Genoa	2	1	0	1	+1	3
15	Cagliari	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Udinese	3	1	0	2	-2	3
17	Benevento	3	1	0	2	-3	3
18	Spezia	2	0	1	1	-3	1
19	Crotone	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Torino	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atalanta	4	3	0	1	+3	9
2	Inter	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Sassuolo	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Milan	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Sampdoria	3	2	0	1	+0	6
7	Spezia	3	1	1	1	-1	4
8	Roma	3	1	1	1	-2	4
9	Cagliari	4	1	1	2	-3	4
10	Lazio	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Benevento	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Juventus	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Fiorentina	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Torino	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Verona	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Parma	3	0	1	2	-4	1
17	Genoa	2	0	1	1	-6	1
18	Udinese	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Bologna	3	0	0	3	-4	0
20	Crotone	3	0	0	3	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.