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Ligue 1

Referee: J Miguelgorry

St Etienne

U T T T T

0–1

Full-time

Montpellier

S U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Montpellier

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 38%

38%

Points per game

1,3

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

38%

75%

Both score Ø 50%

25%

75%

Average goals

2,6

3,3

Scored

1,1

1,6

Conceded

1,5

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%

8 Shots 10

0 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 0

8 Corners 2

0 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 17

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Etienne 13. · Montpellier 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	9	7	0	2	+20	21
2	Lille	8	5	3	0	+11	18
3	Rennes	9	5	3	1	+7	18
4	Marseille	8	4	3	1	+3	15
5	Nice	8	4	2	2	+1	14
6	Lyon	8	3	4	1	+6	13
7	Lens	7	4	1	2	+0	13
8	Angers	8	4	1	3	-6	13
9	Bordeaux	8	3	3	2	+4	12
10	Metz	8	3	2	3	+2	11
11	Montpellier	8	3	2	3	+0	11
12	Monaco	8	3	2	3	-2	11
13	St Etienne	8	3	1	4	-3	10
14	Brest	9	3	0	6	-8	9
15	Nantes	8	2	2	4	-4	8
16	Nimes	8	2	2	4	-4	8
17	Lorient	8	2	1	5	-3	7
18	Strasbourg	8	2	0	6	-7	6
19	Reims	8	1	2	5	-3	5
20	Dijon	8	0	2	6	-14	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	4	3	1	0	+7	10
2	Rennes	5	3	1	1	+2	10
3	Paris SG	4	3	0	1	+9	9
4	Bordeaux	5	2	3	0	+5	9
5	Metz	4	3	0	1	+4	9
6	Lens	3	3	0	0	+4	9
7	Montpellier	5	3	0	2	+1	9
8	Lyon	4	2	2	0	+6	8
9	Monaco	4	2	2	0	+2	8
10	Nantes	4	2	1	1	+0	7
11	Angers	4	2	1	1	+0	7
12	Nice	4	2	1	1	-1	7
13	St Etienne	4	2	0	2	-1	6
14	Brest	4	2	0	2	-2	6
15	Marseille	4	1	2	1	+0	5
16	Lorient	4	1	1	2	+0	4
17	Nimes	4	1	1	2	-2	4
18	Strasbourg	4	1	0	3	-5	3
19	Dijon	4	0	2	2	-3	2
20	Reims	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	4	0	1	+11	12
2	Marseille	4	3	1	0	+3	10
3	Rennes	4	2	2	0	+5	8
4	Lille	4	2	2	0	+4	8
5	Nice	4	2	1	1	+2	7
6	Angers	4	2	0	2	-6	6
7	Reims	5	1	2	2	+2	5
8	Lyon	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	St Etienne	4	1	1	2	-2	4
10	Nimes	4	1	1	2	-2	4
11	Lens	4	1	1	2	-4	4
12	Bordeaux	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Strasbourg	4	1	0	3	-2	3
14	Lorient	4	1	0	3	-3	3
15	Monaco	4	1	0	3	-4	3
16	Brest	5	1	0	4	-6	3
17	Montpellier	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Metz	4	0	2	2	-2	2
19	Nantes	4	0	1	3	-4	1
20	Dijon	4	0	0	4	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.