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Eredivisie
Referee: B Kuipers
Vitesse
S T T S S
2–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse Sparta Rotterdam
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,8
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
1,0
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

70% Possession 30%
26 Shots 2
9 Shots on target 1
7 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 7
4 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Vitesse 7. · Sparta Rotterdam 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 VVV Venlo 2 1 1 0 +2 4
2 PSV Eindhoven 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Feyenoord 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Twente 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Heracles 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Heerenveen 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Vitesse 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Ajax 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Utrecht 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 AZ Alkmaar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Zwolle 2 0 1 1 -2 1
12 Waalwijk 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Sparta Rotterdam 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 FC Emmen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
15 Groningen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 For Sittard 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Den Haag 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Willem II 1 0 0 1 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vitesse Sparta Rotterdam
6′
🟨 Abdou Harroui
20′
🟨 Michael Heylen
1–0 O. Tannane
27′
42′
🟨 Michael Heylen
42′
🟥 Michael Heylen
Oussama Darfalou 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–0
Tomáš Hájek 🟨
53′
54′
🟨 Mica Pinto
64′
🔁 E. Emegha
↦ L. Thy
A. Broja 🔁
↦ O. Darfalou
66′
75′
🔁 D. Gravenberch
↦ B. Smeets
75′
🔁 A. Meijers
↦ A. Harroui
2–0 A. Broja
82′
I. Touré 🔁
↦ T. Bruns
88′
88′
🔁 S. Mijnans
↦ A. Auassar
D. Huisman 🔁
↦ L. Openda
91′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Vitesse

3-5-2
22 R. Pasveer G
18 T. Hájek D
2 E. Dasa M
32 M. Wittek M
3 D. Doekhi D
20 T. Bruns M
21 M. Bero M
10 R. Bazoer D
14 O. Tannane M
9 O. Darfalou F
7 L. Openda F
Bench (11)
11 A. Broja
27 I. Touré
40 D. Huisman
29 T. Buitink
43 J. Froeling
24 J. Houwen
42 M. Manhoef
17 H. Gong
36 P. Vroegh
15 F. Delaveris
39 E. Cornelisse

Coach: T. Letsch

Sparta Rotterdam

5-3-2
1 B. van Leer G
5 Jeffry Fortes D
3 B. Vriends D
4 T. Beugelsdijk D
8 Mica Pinto D
2 M. Heylen D
6 A. Auassar M
10 B. Smeets M
7 A. Harroui M
9 L. Thy F
11 M. Rayhi F
Bench (8)
15 E. Emegha
17 D. Gravenberch
13 A. Meijers
16 S. Mijnans
12 D. Abels
30 M. Fabrie
20 M. Okoye
14 L. Duarte

Coach: H. Fraser

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,69
U
4,02
B
4,51
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,57
U2,5 ✓
2,40
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Kuipers · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.