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Eredivisie
Referee: S van der Eijk
Heerenveen
S S S U T
4–0
Full-time
FC Emmen
T T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen FC Emmen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
This season — Eredivisie · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
60%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
40%
60%
Both score Ø 80%
60%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,8
Scored
1,6
1,6
Conceded
1,4
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

47% Possession 53%
14 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 8
1 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 2
The table before the match Heerenveen 6. · FC Emmen 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 6 5 0 1 +21 15
2 PSV Eindhoven 5 4 1 0 +8 13
3 Vitesse 5 4 0 1 +7 12
4 Twente 6 3 2 1 +6 11
5 Feyenoord 4 3 1 0 +7 10
6 Heerenveen 5 3 1 1 +1 10
7 Utrecht 5 2 3 0 +3 9
8 Groningen 5 2 1 2 -2 7
9 Zwolle 6 1 3 2 -1 6
10 Willem II 6 1 2 3 -4 5
11 VVV Venlo 6 1 2 3 -13 5
12 AZ Alkmaar 4 0 4 0 +0 4
13 Waalwijk 5 1 1 3 -5 4
14 Heracles 5 1 1 3 -6 4
15 FC Emmen 5 0 3 2 -3 3
16 Den Haag 5 1 0 4 -6 3
17 For Sittard 5 0 2 3 -6 2
18 Sparta Rotterdam 4 0 1 3 -7 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,74
U
4,01
B
4,22
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,57
U2,5
2,39
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S van der Eijk · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.