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Serie B
Reggina
U S U U U
0–1
Full-time
Spal
U U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reggina Spal
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 19%
20%
17%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
40%
67%
Both score Ø 82%
80%
83%
Average goals
2,4
3,3
Scored
1,4
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,3
This season — Serie B · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 20%
20%
20%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
40%
60%
Both score Ø 80%
80%
80%
Average goals
2,4
3,2
Scored
1,4
1,6
Conceded
1,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

11 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 3
5 Corners 3
14 Free kicks against 27
3 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Reggina 7. · Spal 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salernitana 6 4 2 0 +8 14
2 Empoli 6 4 1 1 +4 13
3 Chievo 6 4 1 1 +4 13
4 Cittadella 5 3 1 1 +6 10
5 Venezia 5 3 1 1 +5 10
6 Frosinone 5 3 1 1 +3 10
7 Reggina 5 1 4 0 +2 7
8 Pordenone 6 1 4 1 -1 7
9 Spal 5 1 3 1 +0 6
10 Monza 5 1 3 1 +0 6
11 Lecce 5 1 3 1 -1 6
12 Brescia 5 1 2 2 -1 5
13 Cosenza 6 0 5 1 -2 5
14 Virtus Entella 5 0 4 1 -2 4
15 Reggiana 5 1 1 3 -3 4
16 Ascoli 6 1 1 4 -4 4
17 Pisa 6 0 4 2 -5 4
18 Vicenza 5 0 3 2 -2 3
19 Cremonese 4 0 3 1 -2 3
20 Pescara 5 0 1 4 -9 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,33
U
3,10
B ✓
3,13
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,13
U2,5 ✓
1,69
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.